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Garrison Forest (15-2)

Region: MD IAAM B

State: MD

Coach: Traci Davis

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	ST. TIMOTHY'S (12-6)	MD IAAM B	83.6	4	W	13-	1		0.075
3/30	OLDFIELDS SCHOOL (3-9)	MD IAAM B	79.2	8	W	17-	3		0.000
4/02	at Glenelg Country School (7-7)	MD IAAM B	80.2	5	W	13-	2		0.025
4/05	at Park School (11-4)	MD IAAM B	86.0	3	W	12-	5		0.200
4/10	at St. John's @ P.H. (0-11)	MD IAAM B	78.2	10	W	17-	0		0.000
4/12	INST. OF NOTRE DAME (5-11)	MD IAAM B	79.3	7	W	18-	5		0.000
4/17	CHAPELGATE CHRISTIAN (4-8)	MD IAAM B	79.4	6	W	18-	9		0.000
4/19	PARK SCHOOL (11-4)	MD IAAM B	86.0	3	W	13-	12		0.150
4/23	at Oldfields School (3-9)	MD IAAM B	79.2	8	W	21-	7		0.000
4/24	GLENELG COUNTRY SCHOOL (7-7)	MD IAAM B	80.2	5	W	17-	5		0.000
4/26	ANNAPOLIS AREA CHRIST. (4-10)	MD IAAM B	79.2	9	W	17-	5		0.000
4/30	at Friends School (10-4)	MD IAAM B	89.2	1	W	15-	14		0.275
5/01	at St. Timothy's (12-6)	MD IAAM B	83.6	4	W	15-	6		0.125
5/02	BRYN MAWR SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.0		L	4-	16		-0.100
5/08	at Chapelgate Christian (4-8)	MD IAAM B	79.4	6	W	18-	12		0.025
5/10	ST. TIMOTHY'S (12-6)	MD IAAM B	83.6	4	W	11-	7		0.075
5/13	vs. Friends School # (10-4)	MD IAAM B	89.2	1	L	9-	19		-0.250
# Neutral site			81.9						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	St. Timothy's	13-	1	12	7	++	-1.20	4.57
3/30	H	Oldfields School	17-	3	14	13		-1.20	1.36
4/02	A	Glenelg Country School	13-	2	11	9	+	1.20	2.40
4/05	A	Park School	12-	5	7	2	++	1.20	5.36
4/10	A	St. John's @ P.H.	17-	0	17	18		1.20	-0.57
4/12	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	18-	5	13	13		-1.20	-0.06
4/17	H	Chapelgate Christian	18-	9	9	12	–	-1.20	-2.52
4/19	H	Park School	13-	12	1	4	–	-1.20	-3.03
4/23	A	Oldfields School	21-	7	14	10	+	1.20	3.76
4/24	H	Glenelg Country School	17-	5	12	11		-1.20	1.00
4/26	H	Annapolis Area Christ.	17-	5	12	13		-1.20	-1.25
4/30	A	Friends School	15-	14	1	-1		1.20	1.89
5/01	A	St. Timothy's	15-	6	9	5	+	1.20	3.96
5/02	H	Bryn Mawr SG	4-	16	-12	-6	–––	-1.03		-6.15
5/08	A	Chapelgate Christian	18-	12	6	9	–	1.20	-3.13
5/10	H	St. Timothy's	11-	7	4	7	–	-1.20	-3.43
5/13	N	Friends School	9-	19	-10	0	–––	0.00	10.31
									0.00	-6.15

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	St. Timothy's	13-	1	-2.00
3/30	H	Oldfields School	17-	3	-1.36
4/02	A	Glenelg Country School	13-	2	-1.00
4/10	A	St. John's @ P.H.	17-	0	0.57
4/12	H	Inst. of Notre Dame	18-	5	0.06
4/23	A	Oldfields School	21-	7	-3.76
4/24	H	Glenelg Country School	17-	5	-1.00
4/26	H	Annapolis Area Christ.	17-	5	1.25
5/02	H	Bryn Mawr SG	4-	16	2.00
5/13	N	Friends School	9-	19	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.31

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	81
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.08		Natl Power Rank	75
Natl SOS Rating	75.21		Natl SOS Rank	195
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	318
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	98
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	8-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	15-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	15-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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