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Good Counsel Falcons (17-3)

Region: DC WCACState: MDCoach: Michael Haight

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/20at Stone Ridge CDS (6-8)DC ISL A83.78W12- 6 0.150  
3/22at St. John's College, DC (2-11)DC WCAC74.3W18- 1 0.000  
3/23at Seton Keough (7-9)MD IAAM A90.5L5- 6 -0.250  
3/27at Westminster, MD (12-3)MD 4A85.5W15-11 0.125  
3/29HOLY CROSS, MD (18-2)DC WCAC88.63W11- 7 0.175  
3/30CHERRY CREEK (17-1)CO Centen92.6W11-10ot0.250  
4/02GEORGETOWN VISITATION (11-6)DC ISL A86.35W12- 8 0.125  
4/04ST. MARY'S RYKEN (2-9)DC WCAC73.0W20- 0 0.000  
4/10BULLIS SCHOOL (12-6)DC ISL A84.56W9- 8 0.075  
4/11at Robinson Secondary (11-7)VA Cncrd83.5W13- 6 0.075  
4/19at McDonogh School (19-2)MD IAAM A98.7L6-12 -0.050  
4/20at Elizabeth Seton (15-7)DC WCAC81.4W14- 3 0.075  
4/24BISHOP O'CONNELL (8-9)DC WCAC81.410W12- 3 0.025  
4/26at Holton-Arms School (11-7)DC ISL A86.94W9- 6 0.225  
4/27at Paul VI Catholic, VA (5-10)DC WCAC79.4W16- 5 0.050  
5/01BISHOP IRETON (13-9)DC WCAC84.27W11- 5 0.075  
5/02at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (24-1)DC ISL A99.51L4-15 -0.050  
5/08ST. MARY'S RYKEN (2-9)DC WCAC73.0W13- 1 0.000  
5/10ELIZABETH SETON (15-7)DC WCAC81.4W14- 5 0.000  
5/14vs. Holy Cross, MD # (18-2)DC WCAC88.63W11-102ot1.200  
# Neutral site 87.5     2.28  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/20AStone Ridge CDS12-66   4       +1.47       2.28
3/22ASt. John's College, DC18-117   12       ++1.47       4.60
3/23ASeton Keough5-6-1   0       1.16       -0.83
3/27AWestminster, MD15-114   5       1.33       -0.70
3/29HHoly Cross, MD11-74   3       -1.47       0.54
3/30HCherry Creek11-101   0       -1.37       0.70
4/02HGeorgetown Visitation12-84   5       -1.47       -1.27
4/04HSt. Mary's Ryken20-020   17       +-1.47       2.70
4/10HBullis School9-81   7       ––-1.47       -5.57
4/11ARobinson Secondary13-67   7       1.27       0.24
4/19AMcDonogh School6-12-6   -8       +1.16       2.36
4/20AElizabeth Seton14-311   7       +1.47       3.69
4/24HBishop O'Connell12-39   9       -1.47       -0.42
4/26AHolton-Arms School9-63   1       1.47       1.59
4/27APaul VI Catholic, VA16-511   8       +1.47       3.19
5/01HBishop Ireton11-56   7       -1.47       -0.91
5/02ASts. Stephen's & Agnes4-15-11   -8       1.47       -2.89
5/08HSt. Mary's Ryken13-112   17       ––-1.47       -5.30
5/10HElizabeth Seton14-59   10       -1.47       -1.24
5/14NHoly Cross, MD11-101   2       0.00       -1.00
         0.001.77

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/22ASt. John's College, DC18-1-4.60
4/04HSt. Mary's Ryken20-0-2.70
4/20AElizabeth Seton14-3-1.00
4/27APaul VI Catholic, VA16-5-1.00
5/02ASts. Stephen's & Agnes4-151.00
5/08HSt. Mary's Ryken13-15.30
10-goal correction: -0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 188.   Natl CCR Rank 30
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 25
Natl Power Rating 91.50   Natl Power Rank 35
Natl SOS Rating 86.30   Natl SOS Rank 31
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.28   Natl Quality Win Rank 10
W-L Pct Rating 0.85   W-L Pct Rank 145
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.3



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