| Region: CT Div 1 | State: CT | Coach: Kylie Wernert |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/04 | A | Greenwich Academy | 10- | 4 | 6 | 0 | +++ | 1.03 | | 6.37 |
4/06 | H | Hotchkiss School | 10- | 4 | 6 | 5 | | -1.03 | | 1.46 |
4/10 | A | Darien | 7- | 8 | -1 | -5 | + | 0.72 | 3.77 | |
4/20 | H | Danbury | 15- | 0 | 15 | 13 | + | -0.72 | 2.38 | |
4/24 | A | Norwalk | 16- | 1 | 15 | 16 | | 0.72 | -1.19 | |
4/26 | H | Trumbull | 14- | 2 | 12 | 15 | – | -0.72 | -2.62 | |
4/27 | H | Staples | 14- | 2 | 12 | 15 | – | -0.72 | -2.69 | |
5/01 | H | Wilton | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | -0.72 | -1.27 | |
5/03 | A | Ridgefield | 15- | 4 | 11 | 9 | + | 0.72 | 2.43 | |
5/07 | H | Daniel Hand | 12- | 7 | 5 | 4 | | -0.72 | 0.77 | |
5/08 | A | Fairfield Warde | 16- | 2 | 14 | 10 | + | 0.72 | 3.86 | |
5/12 | A | Ridgewood | 8- | 11 | -3 | 1 | –– | 1.17 | | -4.49 |
5/15 | A | St. Joseph, CT | 15- | 2 | 13 | 11 | | 0.72 | 1.74 | |
5/17 | H | New Canaan | 12- | 7 | 5 | 7 | – | -0.72 | -2.03 | |
5/22 | H | Brien McMahon | 19- | 6 | 13 | 10 | + | -0.72 | 3.19 | |
5/24 | A | Wilton | 11- | 8 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 0.72 | 4.18 | |
5/29 | N | Darien | 6- | 13 | -7 | -4 | – | 0.00 | -2.96 | |
6/02 | H | Hall, West Hartford | 14- | 9 | 5 | 9 | – | -0.72 | -3.68 | |
6/05 | H | Glastonbury | 5- | 4 | 1 | 7 | –– | -0.72 | -5.91 | |
6/07 | N | Darien | 9- | 13 | -4 | -4 | | 0.00 | 0.04 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 3.34 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/20 | H | Danbury | 15- | 0 | -2.38 |
4/24 | A | Norwalk | 16- | 1 | 1.19 |
4/26 | H | Trumbull | 14- | 2 | 2.62 |
4/27 | H | Staples | 14- | 2 | 2.69 |
5/03 | A | Ridgefield | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
5/08 | A | Fairfield Warde | 16- | 2 | -3.86 |
5/15 | A | St. Joseph, CT | 15- | 2 | -1.74 |
5/22 | H | Brien McMahon | 19- | 6 | -3.19 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.28 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 90 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 88.48 | | Natl Power Rank | 85 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.93 | | Natl SOS Rank | 147 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 913 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 310 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 2-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -0.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 4-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 7-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
|
