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Green Hope Falcons (17-5)

Region: NC E Cen

State: NC

Coach: Heather Piper

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Panther Creek (0-3)	NC E Cen	61.1		W	17-	1		0.000
3/02	at Broughton (11-8)	NC East	71.9		W	6-	3		0.150
3/06	CHAPEL HILL (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	W	14-	12		0.150
3/09	APEX (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	W	9-	8		0.300
3/15	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		W	9-	6		0.125
3/21	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC East	67.9		W	10-	4		0.050
3/24	vs. Myers Park # (18-6)	NC West	74.5	6	W	11-	4		0.175
3/27	at Durham Academy (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	W	8-	3		0.200
3/31	at Milton, GA (20-1)	GA A6	86.1		L	6-	9		0.000
3/31	vs. Ravenwood # (11-7)	TN Centrl	79.3		L	10-	11		-0.200
4/10	at Wakefield, NC (11-5)	NC East	72.7		W	15-	8		0.175
4/12	at East Chapel Hill (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	W	10-	9		0.300
4/14	at Southeast Guilford (2-16)	NC W Cen	66.3		W	18-	6		0.000
4/17	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	4-	9		-0.175
4/19	at Chapel Hill (9-8)	NC E Cen	72.7	10	W	9-	7		0.200
4/21	WESTERN GUILFORD (14-5)	NC W Cen	74.2	7	L	10-	11		-0.325
4/24	MIDDLE CREEK (5-8)	NC East	67.5		W	8-	7		0.050
4/25	ATHENS DRIVE (8-9)	NC East	71.8		W	15-	8		0.125
4/27	EAST CHAPEL HILL (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	W	11-	10		0.275
5/07	WEDDINGTON (10-7)	NC SW	71.9		W	15-	7		0.100
5/12	WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5)	NC East	72.7		W	15-	8		0.125
5/19	vs. East Chapel Hill # (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	5-	11		-0.200
# Neutral site			75.1						1.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Panther Creek	17-	1	16	17		0.75	-1.01
3/02	A	Broughton	6-	3	3	4		0.75	-1.13
3/06	H	Chapel Hill	14-	12	2	4		-0.75	-1.92
3/09	H	Apex	9-	8	1	-2	+	-0.75	2.63
3/15	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	9-	6	3	5	–	-0.75	-2.40
3/21	H	W.G. Enloe	10-	4	6	8		-0.75	-1.55
3/24	N	Myers Park	11-	4	7	3	++	0.00	4.46
3/27	A	Durham Academy	8-	3	5	2	+	0.75	2.50
3/31	A	Milton, GA	6-	9	-3	-10	+++	1.10		6.99
3/31	N	Ravenwood	10-	11	-1	-2		0.00		1.11
4/10	A	Wakefield, NC	15-	8	7	3	+	0.75	3.65
4/12	A	East Chapel Hill	10-	9	1	-2	+	0.75	3.39
4/14	A	Southeast Guilford	18-	6	12	11		0.75	0.67
4/17	A	Apex	4-	9	-5	-3		0.75	-1.87
4/19	A	Chapel Hill	9-	7	2	2		0.75	-0.42
4/21	H	Western Guilford	10-	11	-1	3	–	-0.75	-3.77
4/24	H	Middle Creek	8-	7	1	8	–––	-0.75	-7.09
4/25	H	Athens Drive	15-	8	7	5		-0.75	1.87
4/27	H	East Chapel Hill	11-	10	1	-1		-0.75	1.90
5/07	H	Weddington	15-	7	8	6	+	-0.75	2.28
5/12	H	Wakefield, NC	15-	8	7	5	+	-0.75	2.16
5/19	N	East Chapel Hill	5-	11	-6	-2	––	0.00	-4.35
									0.00	8.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	A	Panther Creek	17-	1	1.01
4/14	A	Southeast Guilford	18-	6	-0.67
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	617
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.21		Natl Power Rank	617
Natl SOS Rating	63.49		Natl SOS Rank	803
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	44
W-L Pct Rating	0.77		W-L Pct Rank	277
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.0


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