High School Computer Ratings

Guilderland Flying Dutchmen (17-3)

Conference: A

Region: NY A Sec 2

State: NY

Coach: Gary Chatnik

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/28	NISKAYUNA (12-7)	NY B Sec 2	84.8	4	W	7-	4		0.150
3/31	FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (10-9)	NY A Sec 3	84.5		W	9-	8		0.125
4/03	SHAKER (13-6)	NY A Sec 2	85.0	3	W	15-	8		0.150
4/05	vs. Lakeland-Panas # (21-2)	NY A Sec 1	93.1		L	6-	11		-0.125
4/07	at Liverpool (9-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.4			-
4/09	at Averill Park (8-9)	NY B Sec 2	77.3	10	W	17-	9		0.000
4/11	at Saratoga Springs (10-6)	NY A Sec 2	84.0	5	W	15-	6		0.175
4/19	vs. Bethlehem # (10-5)	NY A Sec 2	86.3	2	L	6-	9		-0.275
4/20	BURNT HILLS-BALLSTON L (2-11)	NY B Sec 2	74.1		W	15-	1		0.000
4/24	at Shaker (13-6)	NY A Sec 2	85.0	3	W	12-	11	3ot	0.200
4/28	at Niskayuna (12-7)	NY B Sec 2	84.8	4	W	10-	6		0.175
4/30	COLONIE (3-11)	NY A Sec 2	76.1		W	20-	3		0.000
5/01	SARATOGA SPRINGS (10-6)	NY A Sec 2	84.0	5	W	15-	9		0.125
5/02	SHENENDEHOWA (4-10)	NY A Sec 2	77.6	9	W	15-	2		0.000
5/03	BALLSTON SPA (0-12)	NY A Sec 2	72.5		W	21-	1		0.000
5/07	at Shenendehowa (4-10)	NY A Sec 2	77.6	9	W	15-	7		0.050
5/09	at Columbia, NY (6-5)	NY A Sec 2	79.7	6	W	13-	5		0.050
5/11	BETHLEHEM (10-5)	NY A Sec 2	86.3	2	W	11-	6		0.200
5/23	SARATOGA SPRINGS (10-6)	NY A Sec 2	84.0	5	W	14-	4		0.125
5/30	vs. Shaker # (13-6)	NY A Sec 2	85.0	3	W	9-	7		0.175
6/03	LAKELAND-PANAS (21-2)	NY A Sec 1	93.1		L	7-	12		-0.150
# Neutral site			83.0						1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	Niskayuna	7-	4	3	4		-0.78	-1.08
3/31	H	Fayetteville-Manlius	9-	8	1	5	––	-1.25		-4.12
4/03	H	Shaker	15-	8	7	4	+	-0.78	2.99
4/05	N	Lakeland-Panas	6-	11	-5	-5		0.00		-0.30
4/09	A	Averill Park	17-	9	8	12	–	0.78	-3.58
4/11	A	Saratoga Springs	15-	6	9	3	++	0.78	5.69
4/19	N	Bethlehem	6-	9	-3	1	––	0.00	-4.15
4/20	H	Burnt Hills-Ballston L	15-	1	14	22	–––	-0.78	-8.05
4/24	A	Shaker	12-	11	1	2		0.78	-1.44
4/28	A	Niskayuna	10-	6	4	3		0.78	1.49
4/30	H	Colonie	20-	3	17	18		-0.78	-0.68
5/01	H	Saratoga Springs	15-	9	6	5		-0.78	1.12
5/02	H	Shenendehowa	15-	2	13	10	+	-0.78	3.12
5/03	H	Ballston Spa	21-	1	20	22	–	-0.78	-2.41
5/07	A	Shenendehowa	15-	7	8	8		0.78	-0.32
5/09	A	Columbia, NY	13-	5	8	8		0.78	0.33
5/11	H	Bethlehem	11-	6	5	2	+	-0.78	3.07
5/23	H	Saratoga Springs	14-	4	10	5	++	-0.78	5.12
5/30	N	Shaker	9-	7	2	3		0.00	-1.23
6/03	H	Lakeland-Panas	7-	12	-5	-4		-1.02		-1.32
									0.00	-5.74