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Henninger-Nottingham Black Knights (5-10)

Conference: A1

Region: NY A Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Tom MacDonald

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	CHRISTIAN BROS ACADEMY (13-8)	NY C Sec 3	81.4	8	L	8-	18		-0.200
3/31	WESTHILL (13-8)	NY C Sec 3	81.4	9	L	8-	9		-0.225
4/03	at Central Square (5-6)	NY A Sec 3	78.9		W	11-	8		0.025
4/05	CORCORAN-FOWLER (11-6)	NY A Sec 3	81.3	10	L	7-	12		-0.250
4/07	at Watertown, NY (8-6)	NY B Sec 3	80.1		W	15-	6		0.100
4/10	at Auburn (10-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.1		L	6-	13		-0.175
4/12	ROME FREE ACADEMY (3-12)	NY A Sec 3	78.8		W	12-	2		0.000
4/14	at Oswego (2-14)	NY A Sec 3	78.5		W	15-	2		0.075
4/17	CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (11-7)	NY A Sec 3	84.3	6	L	7-	11		-0.150
4/19	at West Genesee (24-0)	NY A Sec 3	****	1	L	5-	17		0.000
4/24	CENTRAL SQUARE (5-6)	NY A Sec 3	78.9		W	19-	1		0.000
4/26	at Liverpool (9-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.5	7		-
4/28	OSWEGO (2-14)	NY A Sec 3	78.5			-
5/03	at Baldwinsville (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	86.5	4	L	10-	11		-0.050
5/08	ROME FREE ACADEMY (3-12)	NY A Sec 3	78.8			-
5/10	at Corcoran-Fowler (11-6)	NY A Sec 3	81.3	10		-
5/15	AUBURN (10-8)	NY A Sec 3	81.1		L	11-	12		-0.275
5/17	FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (10-9)	NY A Sec 3	84.6	5	L	7-	10		-0.125
5/22	at West Genesee (24-0)	NY A Sec 3	****	1	L	3-	20		0.000
			87.6						-1.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Christian Bros Academy	8-	18	-10	-2	–––	-1.72	-8.03
3/31	H	Westhill	8-	9	-1	-1		-1.72	-0.06
4/03	A	Central Square	11-	8	3	9	––	1.72	-5.97
4/05	H	Corcoran-Fowler	7-	12	-5	0	––	-1.72	-5.23
4/07	A	Watertown, NY	15-	6	9	6	+	1.72	2.68
4/10	A	Auburn	6-	13	-7	-3	––	1.72	-4.46
4/12	H	Rome Free Academy	12-	2	10	11		-1.72	-1.42
4/14	A	Oswego	15-	2	13	7	++	1.72	5.60
4/17	H	Cicero-North Syracuse	7-	11	-4	-4		-1.72	-0.48
4/19	A	West Genesee	5-	17	-12	-17	++	1.72	4.76
4/24	H	Central Square	19-	1	18	12	++	-1.72	5.59
5/03	A	Baldwinsville	10-	11	-1	-8	+++	1.72	7.39
5/15	H	Auburn	11-	12	-1	1		-1.72	-1.89
5/17	H	Fayetteville-Manlius	7-	10	-3	-5		-1.72	1.75
5/22	A	West Genesee	3-	20	-17	-17		1.72	-0.24
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Christian Bros Academy	8-	18	0.00
4/12	H	Rome Free Academy	12-	2	1.42
4/14	A	Oswego	15-	2	-3.00
4/19	A	West Genesee	5-	17	-4.76
4/24	H	Central Square	19-	1	-5.59
5/22	A	West Genesee	3-	20	0.24
10-goal correction: -0.78

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	354
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.85		Natl Power Rank	354
Natl SOS Rating	87.90		Natl SOS Rank	24
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	2116
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1328
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0


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