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Hereford Bulls (9-7)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Anne Ensor

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	NORTH HARFORD (17-2)	MD 2A	89.7	7	L	7-	13		-0.175
3/28	at Towson HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	L	7-	11		-0.150
4/04	DULANEY (13-3)	MD 4A	90.5	4	L	8-	15		-0.150
4/07	vs. Century, MD # (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	4-	13		-0.125
4/07	vs. Notre Dame Prep, MD # (8-11)	MD IAAM A	89.8		W	11-	8		0.400
4/18	at Perry Hall (4-9)	MD 4A	74.0		W	21-	10		0.050
4/20	PIKESVILLE (10-7)	MD 2A	78.5		W	21-	12		0.125
4/23	FALLSTON (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		L	7-	12		-0.275
4/25	at Catonsville (8-6)	MD 3A	82.7		W	11-	10	2ot	0.250
4/27	OWINGS MILLS (1-7)	MD 2A	61.3		W	26-	0		0.000
4/30	at Winters Mill (10-6)	MD 2A	82.4		W	14-	12		0.225
5/02	FRANKLIN REGIONAL, MD (6-6)	MD 3A	77.4		W	18-	7		0.075
5/03	at Park School (11-4)	MD IAAM B	85.5		W	14-	7		0.325
5/04	at Loch Raven (7-4)	MD 1A	78.4		W	12-	6		0.175
5/08	TOWSON HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	L	9-	12		-0.200
5/12	at Towson HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	L	4-	10		-0.150
# Neutral site			85.5						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	North Harford	7-	13	-6	-3	–	-1.20	-2.68
3/28	A	Towson HS	7-	11	-4	-4		1.20	0.22
4/04	H	Dulaney	8-	15	-7	-4	–	-1.20	-3.43
4/07	N	Century, MD	4-	13	-9	-5	––	0.00	-4.11
4/07	N	Notre Dame Prep, MD	11-	8	3	-6	+++	0.00		9.24
4/18	A	Perry Hall	21-	10	11	8	+	1.20	3.40
4/20	H	Pikesville	21-	12	9	5	+	-1.20	3.91
4/23	H	Fallston	7-	12	-5	1	––	-1.20	-5.88
4/25	A	Catonsville	11-	10	1	0		1.20	0.89
4/27	H	Owings Mills	26-	0	26	24	+	-1.20	2.45
4/30	A	Winters Mill	14-	12	2	1		1.20	1.22
5/02	H	Franklin Regional, MD	18-	7	11	7	+	-1.20	3.99
5/03	A	Park School	14-	7	7	-3	+++	1.20		10.07
5/04	A	Loch Raven	12-	6	6	3	+	1.20	2.95
5/08	H	Towson HS	9-	12	-3	-2		-1.20	-1.17
5/12	A	Towson HS	4-	10	-6	-4		1.20	-1.78
									0.00	19.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/18	A	Perry Hall	21-	10	-1.00
4/27	H	Owings Mills	26-	0	-2.45
5/02	H	Franklin Regional, MD	18-	7	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	207
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.58		Natl Power Rank	207
Natl SOS Rating	83.10		Natl SOS Rank	58
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	446
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	781
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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