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Hoggard (13-5)

Region: NC SE

State: NC

Coach: Erin Redmond

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	TOPSAIL (7-6)	NC SE	67.4		W	11-	10		0.150
3/02	at Ashley (3-6)	NC SE	66.7		W	10-	6		0.125
3/08	at Broughton (11-8)	NC East	71.9		L	7-	8		-0.225
3/17	PROVIDENCE HS, NC (15-10)	NC SW	70.7		W	9-	7		0.250
3/20	at Cape Fear Academy (9-11)	NC SE	67.2		W	11-	4		0.175
3/22	ASHLEY (3-6)	NC SE	66.7		W	10-	5		0.075
3/24	vs. Athens Drive # (8-9)	NC East	71.8		W	10-	8		0.275
3/24	at Cary (4-13)	NC East	65.8		W	9-	3		0.075
4/10	NEW HANOVER (1-8)	NC SE	61.1		W	14-	2		0.000
4/13	WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5)	NC East	72.7		L	11-	14		-0.225
4/14	DURHAM ACADEMY (12-8)	NC E Cen	73.0	9	L	9-	11		-0.200
4/14	EAST CHAPEL HILL (19-4)	NC E Cen	78.8	2	L	6-	16		-0.100
4/17	at Laney (3-8)	NC SE	65.2		W	11-	2		0.075
4/20	at Topsail (7-6)	NC SE	67.4		W	12-	11		0.200
4/21	LOOKOUT CLUB (0-4)	NC SE	57.3			-
4/24	at New Hanover (1-8)	NC SE	61.1		W	17-	2		0.000
4/28	LANEY (3-8)	NC SE	65.2		W	14-	10		0.025
5/01	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (9-11)	NC SE	67.2		W	16-	6		0.150
5/07	at Apex (16-3)	NC E Cen	80.5	1	L	5-	12		-0.025
# Neutral site			68.7						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	H	Topsail	11-	10	1	4	–	-0.75	-2.87
3/02	A	Ashley	10-	6	4	5		0.75	-1.14
3/08	A	Broughton	7-	8	-1	-1		0.75	0.40
3/17	H	Providence HS, NC	9-	7	2	0		-0.75	1.55
3/20	A	Cape Fear Academy	11-	4	7	3	+	0.75	4.00
3/22	H	Ashley	10-	5	5	7		-0.75	-1.63
3/24	N	Athens Drive	10-	8	2	-1	+	0.00	3.14
3/24	A	Cary	9-	3	6	7		0.75	-1.01
4/10	H	New Hanover	14-	2	12	14		-0.75	-1.88
4/13	H	Wakefield, NC	11-	14	-3	-1	–	-0.75	-2.32
4/14	H	Durham Academy	9-	11	-2	-2		-0.75	-0.47
4/14	H	East Chapel Hill	6-	16	-10	-6	–	-0.75	-3.58
4/17	A	Laney	11-	2	9	7		0.75	1.96
4/20	A	Topsail	12-	11	1	2		0.75	-1.38
4/24	A	New Hanover	17-	2	15	12	+	0.75	2.61
4/28	H	Laney	14-	10	4	9	––	-0.75	-4.53
5/01	H	Cape Fear Academy	16-	6	10	4	++	-0.75	5.51
5/07	A	Apex	5-	12	-7	-9		0.75	1.65
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	New Hanover	14-	2	1.88
4/14	H	East Chapel Hill	6-	16	0.00
4/24	A	New Hanover	17-	2	-2.61
5/01	H	Cape Fear Academy	16-	6	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	72.		Natl CCR Rank	1064
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	71.80		Natl Power Rank	1064
Natl SOS Rating	53.84		Natl SOS Rank	1632
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	214
W-L Pct Rating	0.72		W-L Pct Rank	389
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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