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Holton-Arms School Panthers (11-7)

Region: DC ISL A

State: MD

Coach: Coates-Jorgenen

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	at Holy Child, DC (8-8)	DC ISL AA	79.4		W	12-	5		0.125
3/15	at W.T. Woodson (14-7)	VA Lbrty	83.9		W	10-	9		0.200
3/20	SEVERN SCHOOL (12-8)	MD IAAM A	93.9		L	5-	12		-0.100
3/22	WALT WHITMAN, MD (6-9)	MD 4A	69.1		W	16-	3		0.000
4/05	EPISCOPAL, VA (5-13)	DC ISL A	80.5		W	11-	9		0.100
4/10	POTOMAC SCHOOL (13-8)	DC ISL A	83.0	9	W	18-	8		0.100
4/13	at Holy Cross, MD (18-2)	DC WCAC	88.6	3	L	10-	12		-0.200
4/14	at Worcester Prep, MD (11-5)	MD EESIAC	82.1		W	16-	3		0.175
4/17	NATIONAL CATHEDRAL, DC (3-10)	DC ISL A	79.0		W	9-	4		0.050
4/19	at Bullis School (12-6)	DC ISL A	84.5	6	W	11-	9		0.225
4/24	at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5	1	L	4-	10		0.000
4/26	GOOD COUNSEL (17-3)	DC WCAC	91.5	2	L	6-	9		-0.225
5/01	STONE RIDGE CDS (6-8)	DC ISL A	83.7	8	W	11-	9		0.150
5/03	OAKTON (17-1)	VA Cncrd	91.8		L	8-	9		-0.150
5/09	GEORGETOWN VISITATION (11-6)	DC ISL A	86.3	5	L	8-	9		-0.300
5/12	POTOMAC SCHOOL (13-8)	DC ISL A	83.0	9	W	12-	7		0.100
5/13	vs. Georgetown Visitation # (11-6)	DC ISL A	86.3	5	W	9-	7		0.225
5/15	vs. Sts. Stephen's & Agnes # (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5	1	L	7-	16		0.000
# Neutral site			88.2						0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	A	Holy Child, DC	12-	5	7	5		1.47	1.70
3/15	A	W.T. Woodson	10-	9	1	2		1.27		-0.72
3/20	H	Severn School	5-	12	-7	-6		-1.16		-1.13
3/22	H	Walt Whitman, MD	16-	3	13	19	–––	-1.33		-6.16
4/05	H	Episcopal, VA	11-	9	2	6	––	-1.47	-4.09
4/10	H	Potomac School	18-	8	10	6	++	-1.47	4.33
4/13	A	Holy Cross, MD	10-	12	-2	-2		1.47	0.34
4/14	A	Worcester Prep, MD	16-	3	13	3	+++	2.09		10.32
4/17	H	National Cathedral, DC	9-	4	5	8	–	-1.47	-2.66
4/19	A	Bullis School	11-	9	2	1		1.47	1.24
4/24	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	4-	10	-6	-11	++	1.47	4.98
4/26	H	Good Counsel	6-	9	-3	-1		-1.47	-1.59
5/01	H	Stone Ridge CDS	11-	9	2	4		-1.47	-1.78
5/03	H	Oakton	8-	9	-1	-4	+	-1.27		2.64
5/09	H	Georgetown Visitation	8-	9	-1	2	–	-1.47	-3.39
5/12	H	Potomac School	12-	7	5	6		-1.47	-0.67
5/13	N	Georgetown Visitation	9-	7	2	1		0.00	1.07
5/15	N	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	7-	16	-9	-10		0.00	0.52
									0.00	4.94

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	Walt Whitman, MD	16-	3	6.16
4/10	H	Potomac School	18-	8	0.00
4/14	A	Worcester Prep, MD	16-	3	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	111
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.90		Natl Power Rank	108
Natl SOS Rating	87.63		Natl SOS Rank	26
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	456
W-L Pct Rating	0.61		W-L Pct Rank	654
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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