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Holmdel Hornets (9-7 - 1)

Region: NJ CJ Bdm

State: NJ

Coach: Jennifer Conroy

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/10	ST. ROSE (2-12)	NJ SC B	75.1		W	11-	9		0.125
4/12	at St. John Vianney (8-8)	NJ Indep	77.2		W	10-	9		0.325
4/17	SHORE REGIONAL (22-2)	NJ SC B	89.1	4	L	6-	20		0.000
4/19	at Rumson-Fair Haven (16-4)	NJ SC B	83.5		L	9-	20		0.000
4/24	MANASQUAN (11-7)	NJ SC B	77.9		L	12-	15		-0.225
4/26	at St. Rose (2-12)	NJ SC B	75.1		W	9-	6		0.200
4/28	ST. JOHN VIANNEY (8-8)	NJ Indep	77.2		T	7-	7		0.000
4/30	at Howell (7-8)	NJ SC A N	71.6		W	14-	8		0.100
5/01	at Shore Regional (22-2)	NJ SC B	89.1	4	L	3-	14		0.000
5/03	at Rumson-Fair Haven (16-4)	NJ SC B	83.5		L	5-	16		0.000
5/04	at Lacey Township (6-8)	NJ Indep	70.7		W	20-	10		0.075
5/07	at Pinelands Regional (2-9)	NJ SC A S	64.8		W	16-	3		0.000
5/08	MANASQUAN (11-7)	NJ SC B	77.9			-
5/09	at Jackson Memorial, NJ (16-4)	NJ SC A S	81.3		L	5-	16		-0.075
5/14	MONMOUTH REGIONAL (4-9)	NJ SC A N	75.5		W	14-	6		0.100
5/17	at Colts Neck (6-10)	NJ SC A N	72.2		W	9-	6		0.100
5/21	NORTH. VALLEY (DEMARES (9-6)	NJ Indep	75.7		W	17-	8		0.075
5/23	at Mendham (21-2)	NJ Iron	89.9	3	L	2-	17		0.000
			77.9						0.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/10	H	St. Rose	11-	9	2	5	–	-1.62	-3.48
4/12	A	St. John Vianney	10-	9	1	-3	++	1.62	4.43
4/17	H	Shore Regional	6-	20	-14	-11	–	-1.62	-2.78
4/19	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	9-	20	-11	-10		1.62	-1.15
4/24	H	Manasquan	12-	15	-3	-1	–	-1.62	-2.47
4/26	A	St. Rose	9-	6	3	2		1.62	0.76
4/28	H	St. John Vianney	7-	7	0	0		-1.62	0.20
4/30	A	Howell	14-	8	6	6		1.62	-0.08
5/01	A	Shore Regional	3-	14	-11	-14	+	1.62	3.46
5/03	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	5-	16	-11	-10		1.62	-1.15
5/04	A	Lacey Township	20-	10	10	7	+	1.62	2.74
5/07	A	Pinelands Regional	16-	3	13	12		1.62	1.34
5/09	A	Jackson Memorial, NJ	5-	16	-11	-7	–	1.62	-3.78
5/14	H	Monmouth Regional	14-	6	8	6	+	-1.62	2.36
5/17	A	Colts Neck	9-	6	3	6	–	1.62	-2.86
5/21	H	North. Valley (Demares	17-	8	9	7	+	-1.62	2.33
5/23	A	Mendham	2-	17	-15	-15		1.62	0.12
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	Shore Regional	6-	20	2.78
4/19	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	9-	20	1.00
5/01	A	Shore Regional	3-	14	-3.46
5/03	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	5-	16	1.00
5/04	A	Lacey Township	20-	10	0.00
5/07	A	Pinelands Regional	16-	3	-1.34
5/09	A	Jackson Memorial, NJ	5-	16	1.00
5/23	A	Mendham	2-	17	-0.12
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	714
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.21		Natl Power Rank	714
Natl SOS Rating	68.71		Natl SOS Rank	494
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	212
W-L Pct Rating	0.56		W-L Pct Rank	794
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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