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Honeoye Falls-Lima Cougars (14-4)

Conference: MC

Region: NY C Sec 5

State: NY

Coach: Kevin O'Connell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	vs. Horseheads # (7-8)	NY A Sec 4	80.8		W	11-	6		0.075
3/31	at Livonia (4-12)	NY C Sec 5	70.2		W	15-	9		0.000
4/04	SPENCERPORT (4-13)	NY A Sec 5	71.6		W	11-	3		0.000
4/19	vs. Penfield # (19-2)	NY A Sec 5	91.4	2	L	8-	15		-0.150
4/20	CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (1-15)	NY A Sec 5	65.2		W	15-	1		0.000
4/24	FAIRPORT (10-8)	NY A Sec 5	81.3		W	7-	5		0.125
4/26	at East Rochester (16-5)	NY C Sec 5	89.3	5	W	11-	10	ot	0.325
4/28	VICTOR (13-7)	NY B Sec 5	84.3	10	W	9-	8		0.175
4/30	CORNING WEST (12-6)	NY A Sec 4	84.1		W	10-	5		0.125
5/02	at Arcadia-Olympia (0-17)	NY A Sec 5	64.3		W	19-	1		0.000
5/03	at Brighton, NY (18-2)	NY B Sec 5	92.9	1	L	3-	13		-0.050
5/08	EAST IRONDEQUOIT (8-9)	NY B Sec 5	76.3		W	12-	1		0.050
5/10	BROCKPORT (6-11)	NY A Sec 5	73.6		W	12-	2		0.000
5/11	AMHERST (16-4)	NY C Sec 6	84.7		W	11-	8		0.150
5/16	at Webster Thomas (13-5)	NY B Sec 5	87.3	7	L	6-	7		-0.225
5/18	IRONDEQUOIT (7-8)	NY B Sec 5	78.1		W	17-	7		0.075
5/23	MARCUS WHITMAN (10-10)	NY C Sec 5	76.8		W	14-	3		0.050
5/29	at East Rochester (16-5)	NY C Sec 5	89.3	5	L	6-	7		-0.175
# Neutral site			81.6						0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	N	Horseheads	11-	6	5	7		0.00		-1.51
3/31	A	Livonia	15-	9	6	11	––	1.02	-4.64
4/04	H	Spencerport	11-	3	8	12	–	-1.02	-3.50
4/19	N	Penfield	8-	15	-7	-4	–	0.00	-2.58
4/20	H	Churchville-Chili	15-	1	14	16		-1.02	-1.89
4/24	H	Fairport	7-	5	2	5	–	-1.02	-2.91
4/26	A	East Rochester	11-	10	1	-3	++	1.02	4.30
4/28	H	Victor	9-	8	1	3		-1.02	-1.70
4/30	H	Corning West	10-	5	5	5		-1.37		0.40
5/02	A	Arcadia-Olympia	19-	1	18	15	+	1.02	3.24
5/03	A	Brighton, NY	3-	13	-10	-8		1.02	-1.77
5/08	H	East Irondequoit	12-	1	11	8	+	-1.02	2.62
5/10	H	Brockport	12-	2	10	10		-1.02	0.05
5/11	H	Amherst	11-	8	3	4		-1.34		-0.93
5/16	A	Webster Thomas	6-	7	-1	-1		1.02	0.15
5/18	H	Irondequoit	17-	7	10	7	+	-1.02	3.14
5/23	H	Marcus Whitman	14-	3	11	8	+	-1.02	3.19
5/29	A	East Rochester	6-	7	-1	-3	+	1.02	2.30
									0.00	-2.04

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	H	Churchville-Chili	15-	1	1.89
5/02	A	Arcadia-Olympia	19-	1	-3.24
5/03	A	Brighton, NY	3-	13	0.00
5/08	H	East Irondequoit	12-	1	-1.00
5/10	H	Brockport	12-	2	-0.05
5/18	H	Irondequoit	17-	7	0.00
5/23	H	Marcus Whitman	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	105
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	87.29		Natl Power Rank	101
Natl SOS Rating	74.74		Natl SOS Rank	205
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	351
W-L Pct Rating	0.78		W-L Pct Rank	271
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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