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Howard Lions (4-10)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Laura Foerster

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	CENTENNIAL, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		L	3-	19		0.000
3/26	SOUTH CARROLL (4-8)	MD 2A	72.0		L	14-	15		-0.175
3/27	at Glenelg HS (15-3)	MD 2A	90.3	5	L	1-	25		0.000
3/31	RESERVOIR (1-9)	MD 2A	68.4		W	10-	8		0.225
3/31	SHERWOOD, MD (12-5)	MD 4A	73.2		W	12-	10		0.300
4/10	at Hammond (5-7)	MD 2A	72.8		L	7-	12		-0.125
4/13	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		W	13-	12	2ot	0.325
4/17	RESERVOIR (1-9)	MD 2A	68.4		L	13-	15		-0.275
4/20	at Marriotts Ridge (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		L	7-	19		0.000
4/24	MT. HEBRON (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9	1	L	0-	26		0.000
4/26	ATHOLTON (5-7)	MD 2A	73.7		L	11-	18		-0.150
5/01	at Long Reach (1-10)	MD 3A	64.2		W	15-	9		0.200
5/04	OAKLAND MILLS (4-9)	MD 1A	71.0		L	9-	14		-0.225
5/10	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		L	13-	16		-0.175
			78.6						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	Centennial, MD	3-	19	-16	-15		-1.20	-1.03
3/26	H	South Carroll	14-	15	-1	-3		-1.20	1.66
3/27	A	Glenelg HS	1-	25	-24	-22	–	1.20	-2.47
3/31	H	Reservoir	10-	8	2	1		-1.20	0.67
3/31	H	Sherwood, MD	12-	10	2	-2	++	-1.20	4.45
4/10	A	Hammond	7-	12	-5	-5		1.20	0.36
4/13	A	Wilde Lake	13-	12	1	-3	++	1.20	4.14
4/17	H	Reservoir	13-	15	-2	1	–	-1.20	-3.33
4/20	A	Marriotts Ridge	7-	19	-12	-11		1.20	-1.09
4/24	H	Mt. Hebron	0-	26	-26	-26		-1.20	-0.43
4/26	H	Atholton	11-	18	-7	-4	–	-1.20	-2.84
5/01	A	Long Reach	15-	9	6	2	+	1.20	3.73
5/04	H	Oakland Mills	9-	14	-5	-1	–	-1.20	-3.95
5/10	A	Wilde Lake	13-	16	-3	-3		1.20	0.14
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	H	Centennial, MD	3-	19	1.03
3/27	A	Glenelg HS	1-	25	2.47
4/20	A	Marriotts Ridge	7-	19	1.09
4/24	H	Mt. Hebron	0-	26	0.43
10-goal correction: 0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1278
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.27		Natl Power Rank	1278
Natl SOS Rating	69.92		Natl SOS Rank	427
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1179
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1433
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-25.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-25.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-22.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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