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Jackson, OH Polar Bears (3-13 - 1)

Region: OH N-D2

State: OH

Coach: Nick Morris

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	BEAUMONT SCHOOL (6-8)	OH N-D2	74.8		T	10-	10		0.000
3/26	at Shaker Heights (4-10)	OH NNW-D1	77.8		L	4-	17		-0.025
4/03	at Kent Roosevelt (8-9)	OH NNW-D1	78.1		L	4-	20		-0.025
4/04	at Wooster, OH (3-12)	OH NNW-D1	75.7		L	6-	11		-0.150
4/12	at Western Reserve Acad (4-5)	OH NNW-D1	77.6		L	6-	11		-0.050
4/16	at Revere Club (5-4)	OH No Club	78.2		L	6-	12		-0.050
4/18	GREEN HILL (0-7)	OH No Club	69.4		W	12-	1		0.050
4/21	HAWKEN SCHOOL (15-4)	OH NNW-D1	80.7		L	3-	17		0.000
4/21	ST. URSULA, TOLEDO (14-3)	OH NW-D2	77.1		L	10-	12		-0.150
4/23	MAGNIFICAT (3-9)	OH NNW-D1	77.1		L	5-	12		-0.100
4/25	at Lake Catholic Club (12-5)	OH No Club	76.6		L	5-	6		-0.125
4/30	STOW-MUNROE FALLS (8-4)	OH NNW-D1	78.1		L	3-	14		-0.100
5/02	at Andrews School (0-5)	OH N-D2	66.3		W	13-	0		0.000
5/03	at Kenston (0-6)	OH N-D2	71.3		W	9-	8	ot	0.200
5/09	WOOSTER, OH (3-12)	OH NNW-D1	75.7		L	9-	14		-0.200
5/11	CHAGRIN FALLS (15-4)	OH NNW-D1	81.4	7	L	13-	18		0.000
5/23	at St. Ursula, Toledo (14-3)	OH NW-D2	77.1		L	8-	9		-0.100
			70.9						-0.83

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Beaumont School	10-	10	0	1		-1.09	-0.59
3/26	A	Shaker Heights	4-	17	-13	-9	––	1.09	-4.09
4/03	A	Kent Roosevelt	4-	20	-16	-9	–––	1.09	-6.59
4/04	A	Wooster, OH	6-	11	-5	-4		1.09	-0.73
4/12	A	Western Reserve Acad	6-	11	-5	-8	+	1.09	2.70
4/16	A	Revere Club	6-	12	-6	-8	+	1.09	2.07
4/18	H	Green Hill	12-	1	11	8	+	-1.09	2.80
4/21	H	Hawken School	3-	17	-14	-11	–	-1.09	-3.14
4/21	H	St. Ursula, Toledo	10-	12	-2	-4		-1.09	1.52
4/23	H	Magnificat	5-	12	-7	-6		-1.09	-1.50
4/25	A	Lake Catholic Club	5-	6	-1	-5	+	1.09	3.58
4/30	H	Stow-Munroe Falls	3-	14	-11	-6	––	-1.09	-5.49
5/02	A	Andrews School	13-	0	13	11	+	1.09	2.15
5/03	A	Kenston	9-	8	1	2		1.09	-1.35
5/09	H	Wooster, OH	9-	14	-5	-2	–	-1.09	-2.91
5/11	H	Chagrin Falls	13-	18	-5	-12	+++	-1.09	6.88
5/23	A	St. Ursula, Toledo	8-	9	-1	-6	++	1.09	4.71
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	A	Shaker Heights	4-	17	3.00
4/03	A	Kent Roosevelt	4-	20	6.00
4/18	H	Green Hill	12-	1	-1.00
4/21	H	Hawken School	3-	17	3.14
4/30	H	Stow-Munroe Falls	3-	14	1.00
5/02	A	Andrews School	13-	0	-2.15
10-goal correction: 0.59

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	882
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.21		Natl Power Rank	882
Natl SOS Rating	56.91		Natl SOS Rank	1347
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.83		Natl Quality Win Rank	1993
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	1593
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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