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John Carroll School Patriots (14-3)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: John Hughes

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at Seton Keough (7-9)	MD IAAM A	90.5	10	W	9-	7	ot	0.200
3/22	ROLAND PARK CS (9-7)	MD IAAM A	92.8	7	W	12-	9		0.175
3/26	at St. Paul's SG, MD (10-8)	MD IAAM A	93.1	6	W	10-	8		0.225
3/27	ST. MARY'S, MD (11-11)	MD IAAM A	93.4	5	W	10-	9	ot	0.200
3/29	at Archbishop Spalding (5-13)	MD IAAM A	86.7		W	11-	5		0.125
4/03	SEVERN SCHOOL (12-8)	MD IAAM A	93.9	4	W	10-	6		0.225
4/04	at North Harford (17-2)	MD 2A	89.8		W	10-	9		0.125
4/12	BRYN MAWR SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.5	2	L	7-	8		-0.250
4/17	at Maryvale Prep (5-10)	MD IAAM A	89.1		L	9-	10		-0.325
4/19	MT. DE SALES ACADEMY (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2	9	W	12-	9		0.150
4/24	at Mercy, MD (5-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8		W	14-	6		0.125
4/26	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (8-11)	MD IAAM A	92.3	8	W	8-	5		0.200
4/30	MCDONOGH SCHOOL (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	6-	9		-0.200
5/01	at Fallston (7-7)	MD 3A	83.1		W	14-	6		0.000
5/08	ST. PAUL'S SG, MD (10-8)	MD IAAM A	93.1	6	W	10-	7		0.175
5/10	ST. MARY'S, MD (11-11)	MD IAAM A	93.4	5	W	9-	8	2ot	0.200
5/13	vs. Severn School # (12-8)	MD IAAM A	93.9	4	W	10-	9	ot	1.250
# Neutral site			93.7						2.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Seton Keough	9-	7	2	2		0.86	-0.38
3/22	H	Roland Park CS	12-	9	3	3		-0.86	0.25
3/26	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	10-	8	2	1		0.86	0.74
3/27	H	St. Mary's, MD	10-	9	1	2		-0.86	-0.77
3/29	A	Archbishop Spalding	11-	5	6	5		0.86	0.70
4/03	H	Severn School	10-	6	4	1	+	-0.86	2.76
4/04	A	North Harford	10-	9	1	5	––	1.03		-4.50
4/12	H	Bryn Mawr SG	7-	8	-1	0		-0.86	-1.21
4/17	A	Maryvale Prep	9-	10	-1	3	––	0.86	-4.38
4/19	H	Mt. de Sales Academy	12-	9	3	4		-0.86	-0.62
4/24	A	Mercy, MD	14-	6	8	5	+	0.86	3.42
4/26	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	8-	5	3	2		-0.86	1.08
4/30	H	McDonogh School	6-	9	-3	-2		-0.86	-1.46
5/01	A	Fallston	14-	6	8	12	––	1.03		-4.13
5/08	H	St. Paul's SG, MD	10-	7	3	3		-0.86	0.02
5/10	H	St. Mary's, MD	9-	8	1	2		-0.86	-0.77
5/13	N	Severn School	10-	9	1	0		0.00	0.62
									0.00	-8.63

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	195.		Natl CCR Rank	8
Natl Poll Vote	99.		Natl Poll Rank	8
Natl Power Rating	96.28		Natl Power Rank	8
Natl SOS Rating	98.55		Natl SOS Rank	6
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	5
W-L Pct Rating	0.82		W-L Pct Rank	188
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	10-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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