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Lake Forest Scouts (13-12)

Region: IL N Sub

State: IL

Coach: Stephen Dunn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at New Trier (22-4)	IL C Sub	84.6	3	L	6-	12		-0.150
4/09	at Vernon Hills (11-7)	IL N Sub	71.9	10	W	15-	2		0.050
4/10	at Glenbrook South (11-8)	IL C Sub	71.8		W	16-	3		0.025
4/13	at Upper Arlington (16-4)	OH C-D1	86.0		L	2-	9		-0.075
4/14	vs. Columbus Academy, OH # (11-4)	OH C-D1	85.4		W	6-	4		0.375
4/14	vs. Sycamore # (20-0)	OH S-D1	89.8		L	4-	11		0.000
4/14	vs. Thomas Worthington # (14-6)	OH C-D1	84.4		L	4-	8		-0.150
4/17	at Hinsdale Central (21-5)	IL W Sub	86.2	2	L	10-	15		-0.125
4/18	at Stevenson (3-11)	IL N Sub	69.2		W	12-	3		0.000
4/20	vs. Ursuline Academy, MO # (14-7)	MO MWAA	76.7		W	10-	1		0.150
4/21	vs. Cleveland Heights # (11-7)	OH NNW-D1	81.2		L	2-	3		-0.225
4/21	vs. Mary Inst CDS (MICDS) # (13-3)	MO MWAA	81.1		W	10-	2		0.275
4/23	LOYOLA ACADEMY, IL (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9	1	L	11-	17		-0.150
4/24	NEW TRIER (22-4)	IL C Sub	84.6	3	L	9-	13		-0.200
4/25	LIBERTYVILLE (12-8)	IL N Sub	72.0	9	W	19-	4		0.000
4/27	EVANSTON TOWNSHIP (18-8)	IL C Sub	77.9	5	L	5-	11		-0.350
5/01	at Loyola Academy, IL (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9	1	L	12-	18		-0.100
5/05	at Eagles Co-op (5-12)	IL W Sub	67.1		W	17-	1		0.000
5/08	HINSDALE CENTRAL (21-5)	IL W Sub	86.2	2	W	13-	8		0.300
5/10	GLENBROOK NORTH (3-14)	IL C Sub	68.0		W	19-	2		0.000
5/12	FREMD (1-8)	IL N Sub	57.8		W	17-	0		0.000
5/15	ST. CHARLES CO-OP (9-8)	IL DuPage	71.7		W	16-	8		0.000
5/17	at Evanston Township (18-8)	IL C Sub	77.9	5	W	12-	10		0.225
5/22	at Loyola Academy, IL (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9	1	L	9-	10		-0.100
5/24	vs. New Trier # (22-4)	IL C Sub	84.6	3	L	10-	11		-0.175
# Neutral site			79.0						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	New Trier	6-	12	-6	-4		1.28	-1.84
4/09	A	Vernon Hills	15-	2	13	8	++	1.28	4.66
4/10	A	Glenbrook South	16-	3	13	9	++	1.28	4.47
4/13	A	Upper Arlington	2-	9	-7	-7		1.19		0.04
4/14	N	Columbus Academy, OH	6-	4	2	-5	+++	0.00		7.15
4/14	N	Sycamore	4-	11	-7	-10	+	0.00		2.60
4/14	N	Thomas Worthington	4-	8	-4	-4		0.00		0.23
4/17	A	Hinsdale Central	10-	15	-5	-5		1.28	-0.12
4/18	A	Stevenson	12-	3	9	13	–	1.28	-3.71
4/20	N	Ursuline Academy, MO	10-	1	9	4	++	0.00		5.49
4/21	N	Cleveland Heights	2-	3	-1	-1		0.00		0.04
4/21	N	Mary Inst CDS (MICDS)	10-	2	8	-1	+++	0.00		8.85
4/23	H	Loyola Academy, IL	11-	17	-6	-4	–	-1.28	-2.23
4/24	H	New Trier	9-	13	-4	-2	–	-1.28	-2.41
4/25	H	Libertyville	19-	4	15	11	+	-1.28	3.89
4/27	H	Evanston Township	5-	11	-6	4	–––	-1.28	10.00
5/01	A	Loyola Academy, IL	12-	18	-6	-6		1.28	0.33
5/05	A	Eagles Co-op	17-	1	16	15		1.28	1.20
5/08	H	Hinsdale Central	13-	8	5	-2	+++	-1.28	7.32
5/10	H	Glenbrook North	19-	2	17	17		-1.28	0.08
5/12	H	Fremd	17-	0	17	24	–––	-1.28	-6.54
5/15	H	St. Charles Co-op	16-	8	8	11	–	-1.28	-2.85
5/17	A	Evanston Township	12-	10	2	1		1.28	0.56
5/22	A	Loyola Academy, IL	9-	10	-1	-6	++	1.28	5.33
5/24	N	New Trier	10-	11	-1	-3		0.00	1.87
									0.00	24.40

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Vernon Hills	15-	2	-3.00
4/10	A	Glenbrook South	16-	3	-3.00
4/25	H	Libertyville	19-	4	-3.89
5/05	A	Eagles Co-op	17-	1	-1.20
5/10	H	Glenbrook North	19-	2	-0.08
5/12	H	Fremd	17-	0	6.54
10-goal correction: -0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	80.		Natl CCR Rank	390
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.20		Natl Power Rank	390
Natl SOS Rating	70.65		Natl SOS Rank	393
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	1642
W-L Pct Rating	0.52		W-L Pct Rank	892
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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