| Conference: A | Region: NY A Sec 1 | State: NY | Coach: Sharon Sarsen |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
4/05 | vs. Guilderland # (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.4 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/09 | at Wilton (17-4) | CT Div 1 | 88.4 | | W | 18- | 11 | | 0.150 |
4/11 | at John Jay-Cross River (7-9) | NY B Sec 1 | 83.8 | 7 | W | 19- | 6 | | 0.075 |
4/13 | MAHOPAC (10-9) | NY A Sec 1 | 84.2 | 6 | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.025 |
4/14 | SHOREHAM-WADING RIVER (19-3) | NY C Sec 11 | 92.9 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.225 |
4/18 | at Tappan Zee (2-14) | NY B Sec 1 | 78.0 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.000 |
4/19 | SUFFERN (12-7) | NY A Sec 1 | 87.7 | 3 | W | 10- | 5 | | 0.100 |
4/23 | at North Rockland (10-6) | NY A Sec 1 | 85.8 | 4 | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.125 |
4/25 | RYE HS (2-9) | NY C Sec 1 | 80.8 | 9 | W | 19- | 9 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | JOHN JAY-CROSS RIVER (7-9) | NY B Sec 1 | 83.8 | 7 | W | 16- | 5 | | 0.025 |
4/28 | at Darien (21-1) | CT Div 1 | 92.5 | | W | 18- | 17 | ot | 0.250 |
5/01 | at Mahopac (10-9) | NY A Sec 1 | 84.2 | 6 | W | 14- | 7 | | 0.075 |
5/03 | TAPPAN ZEE (2-14) | NY B Sec 1 | 78.0 | | W | 19- | 7 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | at Suffern (12-7) | NY A Sec 1 | 87.7 | 3 | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.175 |
5/07 | YORKTOWN, NY (15-7) | NY B Sec 1 | 88.0 | 2 | W | 9- | 5 | | 0.125 |
5/09 | NORTH ROCKLAND (10-6) | NY A Sec 1 | 85.8 | 4 | W | 16- | 11 | | 0.050 |
5/11 | at Rye HS (2-9) | NY C Sec 1 | 80.8 | 9 | W | 19- | 11 | | 0.050 |
5/15 | at Yorktown, NY (15-7) | NY B Sec 1 | 88.0 | 2 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.325 |
5/21 | MAHOPAC (10-9) | NY A Sec 1 | 84.2 | 6 | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.025 |
5/23 | SUFFERN (12-7) | NY A Sec 1 | 87.7 | 3 | W | 5- | 3 | | 0.100 |
5/30 | KINGSTON (17-3) | NY A Sec 9 | 78.6 | | W | 19- | 4 | | 0.000 |
6/03 | at Guilderland (17-3) | NY A Sec 2 | 88.4 | | W | 12- | 7 | | 0.150 |
6/08 | vs. West Genesee # (24-0) | NY A Sec 3 | **** | | L | 4- | 12 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.0 | | | | | | 1.52 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/05 | N | Guilderland | 11- | 6 | 5 | 5 | | 0.00 | | 0.30 |
4/09 | A | Wilton | 18- | 11 | 7 | 4 | + | 0.99 | | 3.29 |
4/11 | A | John Jay-Cross River | 19- | 6 | 13 | 7 | +++ | 1.26 | 6.28 | |
4/13 | H | Mahopac | 15- | 4 | 11 | 9 | | -1.26 | 1.96 | |
4/14 | H | Shoreham-Wading River | 12- | 6 | 6 | 1 | ++ | -1.03 | | 4.74 |
4/18 | A | Tappan Zee | 19- | 3 | 16 | 11 | ++ | 1.26 | 5.12 | |
4/19 | H | Suffern | 10- | 5 | 5 | 6 | | -1.26 | -0.83 | |
4/23 | A | North Rockland | 16- | 9 | 7 | 5 | | 1.26 | 1.80 | |
4/25 | H | Rye HS | 19- | 9 | 10 | 11 | | -1.26 | -0.82 | |
4/27 | H | John Jay-Cross River | 16- | 5 | 11 | 9 | | -1.26 | 1.76 | |
4/28 | A | Darien | 18- | 17 | 1 | 0 | | 0.99 | | 1.39 |
5/01 | A | Mahopac | 14- | 7 | 7 | 7 | | 1.26 | 0.48 | |
5/03 | H | Tappan Zee | 19- | 7 | 12 | 13 | | -1.26 | -1.40 | |
5/05 | A | Suffern | 7- | 5 | 2 | 3 | | 1.26 | -1.31 | |
5/07 | H | Yorktown, NY | 9- | 5 | 4 | 5 | | -1.26 | -1.32 | |
5/09 | H | North Rockland | 16- | 11 | 5 | 8 | – | -1.26 | -2.72 | |
5/11 | A | Rye HS | 19- | 11 | 8 | 8 | | 1.26 | -0.30 | |
5/15 | A | Yorktown, NY | 9- | 11 | -2 | 3 | –– | 1.26 | -4.80 | |
5/21 | H | Mahopac | 15- | 6 | 9 | 9 | | -1.26 | -0.04 | |
5/23 | H | Suffern | 5- | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | -1.26 | -3.83 | |
5/30 | H | Kingston | 19- | 4 | 15 | 16 | | -1.90 | | -1.40 |
6/03 | A | Guilderland | 12- | 7 | 5 | 4 | | 1.02 | | 1.32 |
6/08 | N | West Genesee | 4- | 12 | -8 | -10 | | 0.00 | | 1.90 |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 11.55 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/11 | A | John Jay-Cross River | 19- | 6 | -3.00 |
4/13 | H | Mahopac | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/18 | A | Tappan Zee | 19- | 3 | -5.12 |
4/25 | H | Rye HS | 19- | 9 | 0.82 |
4/27 | H | John Jay-Cross River | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
5/03 | H | Tappan Zee | 19- | 7 | 1.40 |
5/30 | H | Kingston | 19- | 4 | 1.40 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.28 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 190. | | Natl CCR Rank | 17 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 97. | | Natl Poll Rank | 17 |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.10 | | Natl Power Rank | 18 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.99 | | Natl SOS Rank | 40 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.52 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 49 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.91 | | W-L Pct Rank | 66 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 21-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 6-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 3.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 13-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 6.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 15-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.0 |
|
