| Region: FL Distr 4 | State: FL | Coach: Nicole Brown |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/12 | TIMBER CREEK (11-7) | FL Distr 9 | 75.3 | | W | 5- | 4 | | 0.125 |
2/14 | vs. Lake Brantley # (23-1) | FL Distr 4 | 91.5 | 1 | L | 4- | 18 | | 0.000 |
2/20 | SEBASTIAN RIVER (2-8) | FL Distr 1 | 72.3 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.025 |
2/21 | at Lake Howell (8-6) | FL Distr 5 | 76.4 | | L | 7- | 10 | | -0.200 |
2/23 | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (13-9) | FL Distr 7 | 77.5 | | L | 11- | 17 | | -0.250 |
3/02 | LYMAN (4-10) | FL Distr 4 | 74.0 | | W | 18- | 7 | | 0.075 |
3/07 | at Seminole (0-9) | FL Distr 4 | 67.7 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.075 |
3/09 | at Vero Beach (18-4) | FL South 4 | 91.4 | 2 | L | 7- | 20 | | 0.000 |
3/21 | WINTER SPRINGS (18-3) | FL Distr 5 | 86.0 | 3 | L | 8- | 16 | | -0.050 |
3/27 | at Olympia (13-6) | FL Distr 7 | 78.0 | | L | 6- | 8 | | -0.100 |
3/28 | OVIEDO (13-6) | FL Distr 5 | 83.4 | 6 | L | 3- | 15 | | -0.100 |
4/05 | NEASE (15-6) | FL Distr 3 | 79.2 | 10 | L | 6- | 11 | | -0.225 |
4/11 | LYMAN (4-10) | FL Distr 4 | 74.0 | | W | 9- | 4 | | 0.075 |
4/13 | at Lake Brantley (23-1) | FL Distr 4 | 91.5 | 1 | L | 2- | 16 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 79.3 | | | | | | -0.55 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/12 | H | Timber Creek | 5- | 4 | 1 | 5 | –– | -2.60 | -4.44 | |
2/14 | N | Lake Brantley | 4- | 18 | -14 | -15 | | 0.00 | 1.01 | |
2/20 | H | Sebastian River | 14- | 6 | 8 | 9 | | -2.60 | -1.18 | |
2/21 | A | Lake Howell | 7- | 10 | -3 | -2 | | 2.60 | -0.76 | |
2/23 | H | Lake Highland Prep | 11- | 17 | -6 | 0 | ––– | -2.60 | -6.45 | |
3/02 | H | Lyman | 18- | 7 | 11 | 7 | ++ | -2.60 | 4.42 | |
3/07 | A | Seminole | 16- | 2 | 14 | 7 | +++ | 2.60 | 6.54 | |
3/09 | A | Vero Beach | 7- | 20 | -13 | -18 | ++ | 2.60 | 4.96 | |
3/21 | H | Winter Springs | 8- | 16 | -8 | -8 | | -2.60 | 0.19 | |
3/27 | A | Olympia | 6- | 8 | -2 | -6 | + | 2.60 | 3.76 | |
3/28 | H | Oviedo | 3- | 15 | -12 | -6 | –– | -2.60 | -5.76 | |
4/05 | H | Nease | 6- | 11 | -5 | -1 | –– | -2.60 | -4.33 | |
4/11 | H | Lyman | 9- | 4 | 5 | 7 | | -2.60 | -1.58 | |
4/13 | A | Lake Brantley | 2- | 16 | -14 | -18 | + | 2.60 | 3.62 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/14 | N | Lake Brantley | 4- | 18 | -1.01 |
3/02 | H | Lyman | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
3/07 | A | Seminole | 16- | 2 | -4.00 |
3/09 | A | Vero Beach | 7- | 20 | -4.96 |
3/28 | H | Oviedo | 3- | 15 | 2.00 |
4/13 | A | Lake Brantley | 2- | 16 | -3.62 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.90 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 75. | | Natl CCR Rank | 794 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.43 | | Natl Power Rank | 794 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 71.40 | | Natl SOS Rank | 348 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.55 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1778 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.36 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1263 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -11.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -8.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -4.7 |
| 
