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Leonardtown Raiders (13-2)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Mike Denny

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	CALVERT (0-8)	MD 3A	63.8		W	18-	3		0.000
3/27	at Huntingtown (3-7)	MD 3A	70.0		W	11-	5		0.075
3/29	GREAT MILLS (6-8)	MD 4A	71.6		W	10-	5		0.050
3/31	at Chopticon (6-3)	MD 3A	79.5		W	5-	4		0.325
3/31	vs. Great Mills # (6-8)	MD 4A	71.6		W	11-	4		0.075
4/12	at Patuxent (1-5)	MD 4A	69.9		W	10-	3		0.075
4/17	NORTHERN-CALVERT (8-6)	MD 3A	72.6		W	12-	3		0.050
4/19	CHOPTICON (6-3)	MD 3A	79.5		L	6-	7		-0.250
4/23	at St. Mary's Ryken (2-9)	DC WCAC	72.6		W	10-	8		0.100
4/24	at Calvert (0-8)	MD 3A	63.8		W	13-	2		0.000
4/26	HUNTINGTOWN (3-7)	MD 3A	70.0		W	15-	2		0.000
5/01	at Great Mills (6-8)	MD 4A	71.6		W	8-	4		0.100
5/07	GREAT MILLS (6-8)	MD 4A	71.6		W	7-	1		0.050
5/08	at Chopticon (6-3)	MD 3A	79.5		W	6-	5		0.325
5/14	CHESAPEAKE, AA COUNTY (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		L	4-	6		-0.225
# Neutral site			76.2						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	H	Calvert	18-	3	15	15		-1.20	-0.21
3/27	A	Huntingtown	11-	5	6	7		1.20	-1.35
3/29	H	Great Mills	10-	5	5	8	–	-1.20	-3.06
3/31	A	Chopticon	5-	4	1	-3	+	1.20	3.54
3/31	N	Great Mills	11-	4	7	7		0.00	0.14
4/12	A	Patuxent	10-	3	7	7		1.20	0.27
4/17	H	Northern-Calvert	12-	3	9	8		-1.20	1.34
4/19	H	Chopticon	6-	7	-1	0		-1.20	-0.86
4/23	A	St. Mary's Ryken	10-	8	2	6	–	1.33		-3.54
4/24	A	Calvert	13-	2	11	13		1.20	-1.82
4/26	H	Huntingtown	15-	2	13	10	+	-1.20	3.26
5/01	A	Great Mills	8-	4	4	6		1.20	-1.66
5/07	H	Great Mills	7-	1	6	8	–	-1.20	-2.06
5/08	A	Chopticon	6-	5	1	-3	+	1.20	3.54
5/14	H	Chesapeake, AA County	4-	6	-2	-1		-1.20	-1.07
									0.00	-3.54

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	H	Calvert	18-	3	0.21
4/24	A	Calvert	13-	2	1.82
4/26	H	Huntingtown	15-	2	-3.26
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	425
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.50		Natl Power Rank	425
Natl SOS Rating	65.00		Natl SOS Rank	703
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	230
W-L Pct Rating	0.87		W-L Pct Rank	119
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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