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Lafayette, MO Lancers (11-6)

Region: MO Mohawk

State: MO

Coach: Dee Wilkinson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Eureka (4-5)	MO Oneida	63.6		W	14-	1		0.000
3/30	at Marquette (5-5)	MO Cayuga	64.5			-
4/02	NERINX HALL (13-6)	MO MWAA	76.0	4	L	11-	13		-0.325
4/05	KIRKWOOD (1-11)	MO Mohawk	62.3		W	14-	0		0.000
4/10	at Parkway South (11-7)	MO Mohawk	67.5	10	W	18-	3		0.000
4/12	at Rockwood Summit (7-11)	MO Mohawk	67.1		W	18-	4		0.025
4/16	at Mary Inst CDS (MICDS) (13-3)	MO MWAA	81.1	1	W	10-	9		0.325
4/18	PARKWAY WEST (8-9)	MO Mohawk	68.3	9	W	15-	8		0.000
4/21	at Barrington, IL (12-7)	IL N Sub	73.5		L	2-	9		-0.300
4/21	vs. Evanston Township # (18-8)	IL C Sub	77.6		L	4-	8		-0.225
4/21	vs. Loyola Academy, IL # (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9		L	2-	14		0.000
4/24	at Kirkwood (1-11)	MO Mohawk	62.3		W	18-	1		0.000
4/30	ROCKWOOD SUMMIT (7-11)	MO Mohawk	67.1		W	16-	4		0.000
5/07	vs. Clayton # (4-8)	MO Oneida	65.9		W	17-	2		0.000
5/14	vs. Whitfield Academy # (3-9)	MO MWAA	65.6		W	22-	1		0.000
5/15	vs. John Burroughs # (7-12)	MO MWAA	68.7	8	W	6-	2		0.050
5/17	vs. Nerinx Hall # (13-6)	MO MWAA	76.0	4	L	6-	12		-0.300
5/19	vs. Ursuline Academy, MO # (14-7)	MO MWAA	76.7	3	L	5-	6		-0.275
# Neutral site			71.2						-1.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Eureka	14-	1	13	15		0.70	-1.68
4/02	H	Nerinx Hall	11-	13	-2	3	––	-0.70	-4.94
4/05	H	Kirkwood	14-	0	14	16	–	-0.70	-2.48
4/10	A	Parkway South	18-	3	15	10	++	0.70	5.06
4/12	A	Rockwood Summit	18-	4	14	9	++	0.70	4.69
4/16	A	Mary Inst CDS (MICDS)	10-	9	1	-3	+	0.70	3.81
4/18	H	Parkway West	15-	8	7	10	–	-0.70	-3.28
4/21	A	Barrington, IL	2-	9	-7	2	–––	0.99		-9.28
4/21	N	Evanston Township	4-	8	-4	-1	–	0.00		-3.13
4/21	N	Loyola Academy, IL	2-	14	-12	-10		0.00		-1.83
4/24	A	Kirkwood	18-	1	17	15		0.70	1.93
4/30	H	Rockwood Summit	16-	4	12	11		-0.70	1.28
5/07	N	Clayton	17-	2	15	13	+	0.00	2.13
5/14	N	Whitfield Academy	22-	1	21	13	+++	0.00	7.70
5/15	N	John Burroughs	6-	2	4	8	––	0.00	-4.13
5/17	N	Nerinx Hall	6-	12	-6	2	–––	0.00	-8.23
5/19	N	Ursuline Academy, MO	5-	6	-1	1		0.00	-1.85
									0.00	-14.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Eureka	14-	1	1.68
4/05	H	Kirkwood	14-	0	2.48
4/10	A	Parkway South	18-	3	-5.06
4/12	A	Rockwood Summit	18-	4	-4.00
4/21	N	Loyola Academy, IL	2-	14	2.00
4/24	A	Kirkwood	18-	1	-1.93
4/30	H	Rockwood Summit	16-	4	-1.28
5/07	N	Clayton	17-	2	-2.13
5/14	N	Whitfield Academy	22-	1	-7.70
10-goal correction: -0.94

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	77.		Natl CCR Rank	664
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.73		Natl Power Rank	664
Natl SOS Rating	57.79		Natl SOS Rank	1266
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	2065
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	554
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	7.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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