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Liberty, MD Lions (11-4)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Nikki Jones

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	at Reservoir (1-9)	MD 2A	68.4		W	13-	3		0.000
3/29	at North Hagerstown (0-6)	MD 2A	54.4			-
4/02	NORTH CARROLL (11-7)	MD 3A	79.6		W	13-	4		0.150
4/05	CENTURY, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	W	9-	7		0.350
4/14	vs. Bel Air # (8-5)	MD 3A	82.0		L	9-	10		-0.300
4/14	at North Harford (17-2)	MD 2A	89.7	7	L	8-	12		-0.100
4/17	at Walkersville (13-3)	MD 2A	79.5		W	12-	3		0.175
4/19	at Winters Mill (10-6)	MD 2A	82.4		W	10-	7		0.225
4/23	URBANA (7-9)	MD 3A	76.4		W	12-	5		0.075
4/24	at Frederick (1-10)	MD 3A	57.1		W	15-	0		0.000
4/26	at Westminster, MD (12-3)	MD 4A	85.6		L	10-	12	ot	-0.175
5/01	at Key School (3-6)	MD IAAM C	71.3		W	17-	1		0.000
5/01	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (2-10)	MD 2A	68.7		W	17-	1		0.000
5/03	at South Carroll (4-8)	MD 2A	72.0		W	17-	4		0.000
5/07	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		W	12-	8		0.100
5/14	at Century, MD (17-2)	MD 2A	91.3	3	L	4-	15		-0.100
# Neutral site			79.2						0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Reservoir	13-	3	10	14	–	1.20	-3.57
4/02	H	North Carroll	13-	4	9	4	++	-1.20	4.64
4/05	H	Century, MD	9-	7	2	-4	++	-1.20	5.55
4/14	N	Bel Air	9-	10	-1	2	–	0.00	-2.58
4/14	A	North Harford	8-	12	-4	-6		1.20	1.57
4/17	A	Walkersville	12-	3	9	3	+++	1.20	6.32
4/19	A	Winters Mill	10-	7	3	1	+	1.20	2.08
4/23	H	Urbana	12-	5	7	7		-1.20	-0.46
4/24	A	Frederick	15-	0	15	26	–––	1.20	10.81
4/26	A	Westminster, MD	10-	12	-2	-3		1.20	0.88
5/01	A	Key School	17-	1	16	12	+	1.54		3.84
5/01	H	Francis Scott Key	17-	1	16	16		-1.20	0.13
5/03	A	South Carroll	17-	4	13	10	+	1.20	3.42
5/07	H	Marriotts Ridge	12-	8	4	6	–	-1.20	-2.12
5/14	A	Century, MD	4-	15	-11	-6	––	1.20	-5.05
									0.00	3.84

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	A	Reservoir	13-	3	3.57
4/24	A	Frederick	15-	0	10.81
5/01	A	Key School	17-	1	-3.84
5/01	H	Francis Scott Key	17-	1	-0.13
5/03	A	South Carroll	17-	4	-3.42
5/14	A	Century, MD	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.53

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	164
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	85.02		Natl Power Rank	163
Natl SOS Rating	71.76		Natl SOS Rank	333
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	525
W-L Pct Rating	0.73		W-L Pct Rank	352
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.0


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