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Liberty, OR Falcons (12-5)

Region: OR NW

State: OR

Coach: Paje Stelling

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	HILLSBORO, OR (0-16)	OR NW	51.8		W	19-	1		0.000
3/17	vs. Sheldon # (11-5)	OR South	65.9		W	9-	4		0.150
3/17	at South Eugene (5-10)	OR South	59.1		W	12-	2		0.050
3/20	CENTURY, OR (11-4)	OR NW	69.0	9	L	10-	11	ot	-0.275
4/05	at Glencoe (7-8)	OR NW	64.8		W	6-	4		0.150
4/06	SHERWOOD, OR (8-8)	OR NW	61.1		W	11-	4		0.050
4/10	LINCOLN, OR (15-5)	OR PIL	75.0	3	L	6-	11		-0.100
4/13	at Wilsonville (3-13)	OR NW	54.3		W	20-	2		0.000
4/17	LAKE OSWEGO (13-6)	OR TRL	73.2	5	L	7-	16		-0.150
4/20	at Sherwood, OR (8-8)	OR NW	61.1		W	12-	4		0.050
4/23	at Southridge (4-12)	OR Metro	59.1		W	12-	0		0.025
4/26	at Hillsboro, OR (0-16)	OR NW	51.8		W	14-	2		0.000
5/01	at Century, OR (11-4)	OR NW	69.0	9	W	10-	6		0.225
5/04	LAKERIDGE (9-7)	OR TRL	67.8	10	L	5-	8		-0.300
5/08	WILSONVILLE (3-13)	OR NW	54.3		W	15-	2		0.000
5/11	GLENCOE (7-8)	OR NW	64.8		W	9-	7		0.150
5/18	at Lincoln, OR (15-5)	OR PIL	75.0	3	L	7-	12		-0.100
# Neutral site			64.3						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Hillsboro, OR	19-	1	18	14	+	-0.01	3.66
3/17	N	Sheldon	9-	4	5	4		0.00	1.14
3/17	A	South Eugene	12-	2	10	8		0.01	1.73
3/20	H	Century, OR	10-	11	-1	1		-0.01	-1.61
4/05	A	Glencoe	6-	4	2	4		0.01	-1.72
4/06	H	Sherwood, OR	11-	4	7	8		-0.01	-0.63
4/10	H	Lincoln, OR	6-	11	-5	-6		-0.01	0.59
4/13	A	Wilsonville	20-	2	18	13	++	0.01	4.52
4/17	H	Lake Oswego	7-	16	-9	-4	––	-0.01	-5.40
4/20	A	Sherwood, OR	12-	4	8	8		0.01	0.39
4/23	A	Southridge	12-	0	12	9	+	0.01	2.90
4/26	A	Hillsboro, OR	14-	2	12	14	–	0.01	-2.32
5/01	A	Century, OR	10-	6	4	1	+	0.01	3.41
5/04	H	Lakeridge	5-	8	-3	2	––	-0.01	-4.99
5/08	H	Wilsonville	15-	2	13	14		-0.01	-0.50
5/11	H	Glencoe	9-	7	2	4		-0.01	-1.74
5/18	A	Lincoln, OR	7-	12	-5	-6		0.01	0.61
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/13	H	Hillsboro, OR	19-	1	-3.66
3/17	A	South Eugene	12-	2	0.00
4/13	A	Wilsonville	20-	2	-4.52
4/23	A	Southridge	12-	0	-2.00
4/26	A	Hillsboro, OR	14-	2	2.32
5/08	H	Wilsonville	15-	2	0.50
10-goal correction: -0.43

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1281
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.22		Natl Power Rank	1281
Natl SOS Rating	48.03		Natl SOS Rank	1924
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1197
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	433
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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