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Lincoln-Sudbury Warriors (18-1 - 1)

Region: MA No D1

State: MA

Coach: Debbie DeJesus

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	WESTFORD ACADEMY (11-11)	MA No D2	77.2		W	19-	6		0.000
4/05	WAYLAND (10-8)	MA No D2	80.2		W	21-	6		0.000
4/10	at Concord-Carlisle (9-8)	MA No D1	79.4		W	13-	9		0.050
4/12	BEDFORD (3-12)	MA No D2	68.8		W	22-	2		0.000
4/18	WESTON, MA (15-8)	MA No D2	82.1		W	18-	5		0.050
4/20	NEWTON SOUTH (1-16)	MA So D1	65.3		W	19-	2		0.000
4/24	at Acton-Boxborough (13-7)	MA No D1	82.5		W	19-	8		0.125
4/26	at Westford Academy (11-11)	MA No D2	77.2		W	19-	10		0.025
4/30	at Masconomet (9-7)	MA No D1	80.4		W	23-	9		0.050
5/01	at Wayland (10-8)	MA No D2	80.2		W	10-	6		0.075
5/03	CONCORD-CARLISLE (9-8)	MA No D1	79.4		W	17-	5		0.000
5/04	NORWELL (12-10)	MA So D2	82.5		W	6-	4		0.050
5/08	at Bedford (3-12)	MA No D2	68.8		W	19-	6		0.000
5/10	at Weston, MA (15-8)	MA No D2	82.1		W	18-	6		0.100
5/15	at Newton South (1-16)	MA So D1	65.3		W	19-	7		0.000
5/17	ACTON-BOXBOROUGH (13-7)	MA No D1	82.5		W	15-	4		0.050
5/22	at Winchester (18-4)	MA No D2	85.8	10	T	13-	13		0.000
5/31	ACTON-BOXBOROUGH (13-7)	MA No D1	82.5		W	12-	11		0.050
6/05	ANDOVER, MA (21-2)	MA No D1	88.8	5	W	14-	12		0.175
6/08	at Framingham (25-0)	MA No D1	91.8	2	L	4-	13		-0.225
			80.7						0.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	Westford Academy	19-	6	13	11		-1.16	1.51
4/05	H	Wayland	21-	6	15	10	++	-1.16	5.21
4/10	A	Concord-Carlisle	13-	9	4	8	–	1.16	-3.98
4/12	H	Bedford	22-	2	20	16	+	-1.16	3.90
4/18	H	Weston, MA	18-	5	13	8	++	-1.16	4.51
4/20	H	Newton South	19-	2	17	18		-1.16	-0.61
4/24	A	Acton-Boxborough	19-	8	11	5	++	1.16	5.66
4/26	A	Westford Academy	19-	10	9	9		1.16	-0.16
4/30	A	Masconomet	23-	9	14	8	+++	1.16	6.07
5/01	A	Wayland	10-	6	4	7	–	1.16	-3.46
5/03	H	Concord-Carlisle	17-	5	12	10		-1.16	1.69
5/04	H	Norwell	6-	4	2	8	–––	-1.16	-6.14
5/08	A	Bedford	19-	6	13	14		1.16	-0.77
5/10	A	Weston, MA	18-	6	12	6	++	1.16	5.84
5/15	A	Newton South	19-	7	12	15	–	1.16	-3.28
5/17	H	Acton-Boxborough	15-	4	11	8	+	-1.16	3.33
5/22	A	Winchester	13-	13	0	3	–	1.16	-3.25
5/31	H	Acton-Boxborough	12-	11	1	8	–––	-1.16	-6.67
6/05	H	Andover, MA	14-	12	2	3		-1.16	-1.44
6/08	A	Framingham	4-	13	-9	-1	–––	1.16	-7.98
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Westford Academy	19-	6	-1.51
4/05	H	Wayland	21-	6	-5.21
4/12	H	Bedford	22-	2	-3.90
4/18	H	Weston, MA	18-	5	-3.00
4/20	H	Newton South	19-	2	0.61
4/24	A	Acton-Boxborough	19-	8	-1.00
4/30	A	Masconomet	23-	9	-4.00
5/03	H	Concord-Carlisle	17-	5	-1.69
5/08	A	Bedford	19-	6	0.77
5/10	A	Weston, MA	18-	6	-2.00
5/15	A	Newton South	19-	7	3.28
5/17	H	Acton-Boxborough	15-	4	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.93

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	71
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.41		Natl Power Rank	65
Natl SOS Rating	73.21		Natl SOS Rank	268
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	359
W-L Pct Rating	0.93		W-L Pct Rank	53
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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