| Region: VA NW AA | State: VA | Coach: L. Cornelius |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/14 | A | Heritage | 9- | 12 | -3 | -3 | | 1.07 | -0.41 | |
3/15 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 14- | 4 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.07 | 3.43 | |
3/22 | A | George Mason | 6- | 7 | -1 | -1 | | 1.07 | -0.46 | |
3/26 | A | Potomac Falls | 4- | 8 | -4 | -2 | | 1.07 | -1.98 | |
3/29 | H | Dominion | 6- | 16 | -10 | -7 | – | -1.07 | -3.10 | |
4/12 | H | Broad Run | 8- | 13 | -5 | -8 | + | -1.07 | 2.56 | |
4/18 | A | Liberty-Bealton, VA | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 1.07 | 0.37 | |
4/19 | H | Park View | 12- | 6 | 6 | 12 | ––– | -1.07 | -6.18 | |
4/23 | A | Freedom-South Riding | 12- | 6 | 6 | 4 | | 1.07 | 1.56 | |
4/26 | H | Loudoun Valley | 4- | 19 | -15 | -11 | – | -1.07 | -3.80 | |
4/30 | A | Briar Woods | 9- | 6 | 3 | 5 | – | 1.07 | -2.05 | |
5/03 | H | Heritage | 14- | 9 | 5 | 0 | ++ | -1.07 | 5.45 | |
5/10 | A | Heritage | 9- | 8 | 1 | -3 | + | 1.07 | 3.59 | |
5/14 | A | Dominion | 8- | 16 | -8 | -9 | | 1.07 | 1.03 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/15 | H | Freedom-South Riding | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
3/29 | H | Dominion | 6- | 16 | 0.00 |
4/26 | H | Loudoun Valley | 4- | 19 | 3.80 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.27 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 70. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1221 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 69.97 | | Natl Power Rank | 1221 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 60.38 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1021 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1158 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.43 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1131 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 6-8 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
|
