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Old Lyme Wildcats (13-3)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Tom Risom

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/05	at Haddam-Killingworth (3-10)	CT Div 2	68.3		W	8-	2		0.025
4/10	NORTH BRANFORD (9-6)	CT Div 2	73.8		W	12-	4		0.075
4/13	at Old Saybrook (0-12)	CT Div 2	60.2		W	15-	1		0.000
4/24	SOUTHINGTON (6-8)	CT Div 1	78.1		L	8-	9		-0.250
4/30	at North Branford (9-6)	CT Div 2	73.8		W	15-	4		0.100
5/02	VALLEY REGIONAL (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		W	12-	2		0.000
5/04	at Morgan School (6-8)	CT Div 2	71.8		W	20-	9		0.075
5/07	at Fitch (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	9-	5		0.125
5/09	HADDAM-KILLINGWORTH (3-10)	CT Div 2	68.3		W	13-	2		0.000
5/12	EAST LYME (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	6-	16		-0.125
5/16	OLD SAYBROOK (0-12)	CT Div 2	60.2		W	13-	1		0.000
5/21	at Norwich Free Academy (6-8)	CT Div 1	74.6		W	17-	10		0.150
5/23	MORGAN SCHOOL (6-8)	CT Div 2	71.8		W	13-	5		0.050
5/24	at Valley Regional (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		W	17-	6		0.025
6/02	SUFFIELD HS (7-8)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	25-	14		0.100
6/06	NEW MILFORD (11-8)	CT Div 2	77.6		L	6-	7		-0.300
			68.2						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Haddam-Killingworth	8-	2	6	9	–	0.72	-3.23
4/10	H	North Branford	12-	4	8	7		-0.72	0.90
4/13	A	Old Saybrook	15-	1	14	16		0.72	-1.97
4/24	H	Southington	8-	9	-1	0		-0.72	-0.92
4/30	A	North Branford	15-	4	11	6	++	0.72	5.35
5/02	H	Valley Regional	12-	2	10	10		-0.72	-0.36
5/04	A	Morgan School	20-	9	11	7	++	0.72	4.19
5/07	A	Fitch	9-	5	4	5		0.72	-0.57
5/09	H	Haddam-Killingworth	13-	2	11	11		-0.72	0.33
5/12	H	East Lyme	6-	16	-10	-5	––	-0.72	-5.00
5/16	H	Old Saybrook	13-	1	12	17	––	-0.72	-5.41
5/21	A	Norwich Free Academy	17-	10	7	4	+	0.72	2.78
5/23	H	Morgan School	13-	5	8	8		-0.72	-0.25
5/24	A	Valley Regional	17-	6	11	9	+	0.72	2.08
6/02	H	Suffield HS	25-	14	11	6	++	-0.72	4.80
6/06	H	New Milford	6-	7	-1	2	–	-0.72	-2.73
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/13	A	Old Saybrook	15-	1	1.97
4/30	A	North Branford	15-	4	-1.00
5/02	H	Valley Regional	12-	2	0.36
5/04	A	Morgan School	20-	9	-1.00
5/09	H	Haddam-Killingworth	13-	2	-0.33
5/12	H	East Lyme	6-	16	0.00
5/16	H	Old Saybrook	13-	1	5.41
5/24	A	Valley Regional	17-	6	-1.00
6/02	H	Suffield HS	25-	14	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	477
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.88		Natl Power Rank	477
Natl SOS Rating	53.20		Natl SOS Rank	1674
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	915
W-L Pct Rating	0.81		W-L Pct Rank	201
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.0

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