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Longmeadow Lancers (21-1)

Region: MA West D1

State: MA

Coach: Kathy Parker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/03	CATHEDRAL, MA (0-13)	MA West D1	56.5		W	15-	2		0.000
4/05	at Amherst-Pelham (9-8)	MA West D1	77.6		W	17-	4		0.000
4/10	WEST SPRINGFIELD, MA (2-9)	MA West D1	64.0		W	13-	0		0.000
4/19	at South Windsor (11-7)	CT Div 1	83.3		W	14-	5		0.050
4/24	AGAWAM (16-7)	MA West D1	82.5		W	16-	3		0.000
4/28	PINKERTON ACADEMY (16-2)	NH D1	84.0		W	11-	3		0.025
4/30	at Westfield HS, MA (5-11)	MA West D1	71.4		W	14-	3		0.000
5/01	EAST LONGMEADOW (2-9)	MA West D1	69.0		W	13-	2		0.000
5/04	at Northampton (3-8)	MA West D1	75.5		W	20-	3		0.000
5/05	NORWELL (12-10)	MA So D2	82.5		W	16-	3		0.000
5/08	at Minnechaug (10-6)	MA West D1	81.0		W	18-	2		0.025
5/11	at Deerfield Academy, MA (5-6)	NE	79.5		W	13-	7		0.000
5/18	at Agawam (16-7)	MA West D1	82.5		W	15-	4		0.050
5/19	at Simsbury (6-9)	CT Div 1	78.3		W	16-	1		0.000
5/22	at Conard (11-5)	CT Div 1	81.7		W	13-	3		0.025
5/25	MINNECHAUG (10-6)	MA West D1	81.0		W	13-	1		0.000
5/28	NORTHAMPTON (3-8)	MA West D1	75.5		W	14-	2		0.000
5/29	at South Hadley (14-3)	MA West D1	82.6		W	15-	0		0.025
6/07	MINNECHAUG (10-6)	MA West D1	81.0		W	13-	0		0.000
6/09	AGAWAM (16-7)	MA West D1	82.5		W	19-	4		0.000
6/12	SHREWSBURY (13-2)	MA Cen D1	80.6		W	20-	3		0.000
6/16	vs. Framingham # (25-0)	MA No D1	91.8	2	L	7-	9		-0.325
# Neutral site			80.0						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/03	H	Cathedral, MA	15-	2	13	23	–––	-1.16	10.42
4/05	A	Amherst-Pelham	17-	4	13	12		1.16	1.37
4/10	H	West Springfield, MA	13-	0	13	21	–––	-1.16	-8.01
4/19	A	South Windsor	14-	5	9	8		0.94		1.12
4/24	H	Agawam	16-	3	13	11	+	-1.16	2.43
4/28	H	Pinkerton Academy	11-	3	8	9		-1.00		-1.10
4/30	A	Westfield HS, MA	14-	3	11	14	–	1.16	-3.33
5/01	H	East Longmeadow	13-	2	11	17	–––	-1.16	-6.48
5/04	A	Northampton	20-	3	17	12	++	1.16	4.98
5/05	H	Norwell	16-	3	13	11	+	-1.16	2.35
5/08	A	Minnechaug	18-	2	16	9	+++	1.16	6.51
5/11	A	Deerfield Academy, MA	13-	7	6	11	––	1.25		-5.33
5/18	A	Agawam	15-	4	11	8	+	1.16	2.76
5/19	A	Simsbury	16-	1	15	13	+	0.94		2.16
5/22	A	Conard	13-	3	10	9		0.94		0.57
5/25	H	Minnechaug	13-	1	12	12		-1.16	0.18
5/28	H	Northampton	14-	2	12	14	–	-1.16	-2.35
5/29	A	South Hadley	15-	0	15	9	++	1.16	5.87
6/07	H	Minnechaug	13-	0	13	12		-1.16	1.18
6/09	H	Agawam	19-	4	15	11	++	-1.16	4.43
6/12	H	Shrewsbury	20-	3	17	14	+	-1.16	3.17
6/16	N	Framingham	7-	9	-2	3	––	0.00	-4.65
									0.00	-2.59

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/03	H	Cathedral, MA	15-	2	10.42
4/05	A	Amherst-Pelham	17-	4	-1.37
4/10	H	West Springfield, MA	13-	0	8.01
4/24	H	Agawam	16-	3	-2.43
4/30	A	Westfield HS, MA	14-	3	3.33
5/01	H	East Longmeadow	13-	2	6.48
5/04	A	Northampton	20-	3	-4.98
5/05	H	Norwell	16-	3	-2.35
5/08	A	Minnechaug	18-	2	-6.00
5/18	A	Agawam	15-	4	-1.00
5/19	A	Simsbury	16-	1	-2.16
5/22	A	Conard	13-	3	0.00
5/25	H	Minnechaug	13-	1	-0.18
5/28	H	Northampton	14-	2	2.35
5/29	A	South Hadley	15-	0	-5.00
6/07	H	Minnechaug	13-	0	-1.18
6/09	H	Agawam	19-	4	-4.43
6/12	H	Shrewsbury	20-	3	-3.17
10-goal correction: -0.17

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	188.		Natl CCR Rank	28
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	35
Natl Power Rating	92.10		Natl Power Rank	28
Natl SOS Rating	71.65		Natl SOS Rank	336
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1277
W-L Pct Rating	0.95		W-L Pct Rank	29
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	21-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	11.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	10.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	10.0


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