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Lovett Lions (11-5)

Region: GA A8

State: GA

Coach: Stacey Noviello

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/19	at Riverwood (4-10)	GA A3	72.4		W	11-	5		0.100
2/23	at Harrison, GA (13-5)	GA A5	79.3	4	L	6-	9		-0.225
2/27	at Centennial, GA (10-7)	GA A4	78.6	6	W	9-	8		0.300
3/10	vs. Winter Park # (18-5)	FL Distr 6	82.9		L	9-	17		-0.150
3/15	at North Cobb (7-9)	GA A8	64.1		W	16-	1		0.000
3/28	at Milton, GA (20-1)	GA A6	86.1	1	L	4-	15		-0.100
3/30	at St. Pius X (13-5)	GA A2	76.4	10	W	9-	8		0.200
4/05	at Westminster School, GA (17-3)	GA A3	81.0	3	L	5-	7		-0.175
4/17	at Wheeler, GA (0-13)	GA A8	58.6		W	14-	1		0.000
4/18	ROSWELL (10-6)	GA A6	75.9		W	14-	9		0.100
4/21	at Lassiter (13-5)	GA A7	77.5	8	W	12-	1		0.250
4/23	POPE (8-7)	GA A8	71.5		W	19-	7		0.000
4/26	WALTON (8-7)	GA A8	77.6	7	W	14-	11		0.200
5/02	CENTENNIAL, GA (10-7)	GA A4	78.6	6	W	13-	12	2ot	0.225
5/05	at Harrison, GA (13-5)	GA A5	79.3	4	W	14-	8		0.275
5/09	MILTON, GA (20-1)	GA A6	86.1	1	L	5-	13		-0.175
# Neutral site			77.8						0.82

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/19	A	Riverwood	11-	5	6	6		1.45	0.08
2/23	A	Harrison, GA	6-	9	-3	-1		1.45	-1.54
2/27	A	Centennial, GA	9-	8	1	-2	+	1.45	3.10
3/10	N	Winter Park	9-	17	-8	-4	––	0.00		-4.22
3/15	A	North Cobb	16-	1	15	18	–	1.45	-3.39
3/28	A	Milton, GA	4-	15	-11	-6	––	1.45	-4.80
3/30	A	St. Pius X	9-	8	1	2		1.45	-1.45
4/05	A	Westminster School, GA	5-	7	-2	-3		1.45	1.42
4/17	A	Wheeler, GA	14-	1	13	21	–––	1.45	-8.31
4/18	H	Roswell	14-	9	5	6		-1.45	-0.77
4/21	A	Lassiter	12-	1	11	0	+++	1.45	11.16
4/23	H	Pope	19-	7	12	12		-1.45	0.36
4/26	H	Walton	14-	11	3	2		-1.45	1.19
5/02	H	Centennial, GA	13-	12	1	1		-1.45	0.19
5/05	A	Harrison, GA	14-	8	6	-1	+++	1.45	7.46
5/09	H	Milton, GA	5-	13	-8	-3	––	-1.45	-4.70
									0.00	-4.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	A	North Cobb	16-	1	3.39
3/28	A	Milton, GA	4-	15	1.00
4/17	A	Wheeler, GA	14-	1	8.31
4/21	A	Lassiter	12-	1	-1.00
4/23	H	Pope	19-	7	-0.36
10-goal correction: 0.71

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	457
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.14		Natl Power Rank	457
Natl SOS Rating	68.63		Natl SOS Rank	499
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.82		Natl Quality Win Rank	216
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	466
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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