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Mashpee Falcons (3-11)

Region: MA So D2

State: MA

Coach: Bob Wray

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	at Plymouth North/South (8-8)	MA So D1	62.5		L	1-	14		-0.075
4/10	at Pembroke, MA (6-8)	MA So D2	59.0		L	3-	11		-0.075
4/23	NEW BEDFORD (8-9)	MA So D1	65.6		L	7-	18		-0.075
4/24	NORWELL (12-10)	MA So D2	82.5		L	0-	14		0.000
4/26	STURGIS CHARTER SCHOOL (2-7)	MA So D2	48.2		W	7-	3		0.100
4/28	at New Bedford (8-9)	MA So D1	65.6		L	6-	17		-0.025
5/01	at Abington, MA (0-16)	MA So D2	47.6		W	14-	5		0.200
5/08	at Cohasset (7-9)	MA So D2	68.3		L	4-	18		0.000
5/10	at Cape Cod Academy, MA (8-9)	MA So D2	58.5		L	10-	17		-0.100
5/11	PLYMOUTH NORTH/SOUTH (8-8)	MA So D1	62.5		L	12-	14		-0.125
5/15	at Hanover, MA (11-6)	MA So D2	70.6		L	5-	20		0.000
5/17	CAPE COD ACADEMY, MA (8-9)	MA So D2	58.5		L	7-	12		-0.175
5/22	PEMBROKE, MA (6-8)	MA So D2	59.0		L	5-	9		-0.150
5/23	STURGIS CHARTER SCHOOL (2-7)	MA So D2	48.2		W	17-	4		0.100
5/25	ABINGTON, MA (0-16)	MA So D2	47.6			-
			68.0						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	A	Plymouth North/South	1-	14	-13	-7	––	1.16	-5.63
4/10	A	Pembroke, MA	3-	11	-8	-7		1.16	-1.42
4/23	H	New Bedford	7-	18	-11	-7	––	-1.16	-4.00
4/24	H	Norwell	0-	14	-14	-18	++	-1.16	4.35
4/26	H	Sturgis Charter School	7-	3	4	6		-1.16	-1.53
4/28	A	New Bedford	6-	17	-11	-9		1.16	-1.68
5/01	A	Abington, MA	14-	5	9	2	+++	1.16	6.68
5/08	A	Cohasset	4-	18	-14	-12	–	1.16	-2.42
5/10	A	Cape Cod Academy, MA	10-	17	-7	-6		1.16	-1.40
5/11	H	Plymouth North/South	12-	14	-2	-5	+	-1.16	3.04
5/15	A	Hanover, MA	5-	20	-15	-13		1.16	-2.00
5/17	H	Cape Cod Academy, MA	7-	12	-5	-3		-1.16	-1.73
5/22	H	Pembroke, MA	5-	9	-4	-4		-1.16	0.25
5/23	H	Sturgis Charter School	17-	4	13	6	+++	-1.16	7.47
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	A	Plymouth North/South	1-	14	3.00
4/23	H	New Bedford	7-	18	1.00
4/24	H	Norwell	0-	14	-4.35
4/28	A	New Bedford	6-	17	1.00
5/08	A	Cohasset	4-	18	2.42
5/15	A	Hanover, MA	5-	20	2.00
5/23	H	Sturgis Charter School	17-	4	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	51.		Natl CCR Rank	2009
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	50.72		Natl Power Rank	2009
Natl SOS Rating	52.88		Natl SOS Rank	1692
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	1633
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	1583
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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