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McDowell Trojans (5-7)

Region: PA WP Ind

State: PA

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	OAKLAND CATHOLIC, PA (14-6)	PA WP D4	74.3	10	L	4-	13		-0.150
3/25	OAKLAND CATHOLIC, PA (14-6)	PA WP D4	74.3	10	L	2-	8		-0.150
3/26	BUTLER AREA (4-9)	PA WP D1	71.4		W	9-	8	ot	0.300
3/30	at Quaker Valley (15-5)	PA WP D2	78.9	7	L	0-	12		0.000
3/31	at Fairmont, WV (3-5)	PA WPSLA	66.8		W	10-	9		0.250
4/13	UNIVERSITY HS, WV (3-10)	PA WPSLA	65.9		W	10-	8		0.125
4/14	LAUREL SCHOOL (4-7)	OH NNW-D1	76.7		L	4-	15		-0.075
4/20	WINCHESTER THURSTON (2-12)	PA WP D4	66.4		W	5-	3		0.150
4/21	MORGANTOWN, WV (3-7)	PA WPSLA	67.2		L	4-	5		-0.350
4/26	GREENSBURG-SALEM (10-7)	PA WP Ind	67.5		W	10-	3		0.150
5/10	at Butler Area (4-9)	PA WP D1	71.4		L	3-	11		-0.125
5/19	vs. Sewickley Academy # (15-7)	PA WP D2	80.7	3	L	3-	13		0.000
# Neutral site			69.9						0.13

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Oakland Catholic, PA	4-	13	-9	-4	––	-1.13	-4.76
3/25	H	Oakland Catholic, PA	2-	8	-6	-4		-1.13	-1.76
3/26	H	Butler Area	9-	8	1	-2	+	-1.13	3.40
3/30	A	Quaker Valley	0-	12	-12	-13		1.13	0.77
3/31	A	Fairmont, WV	10-	9	1	0		2.07		0.89
4/13	H	University HS, WV	10-	8	2	5	–	-2.07		-3.12
4/14	H	Laurel School	4-	15	-11	-7	––	-1.11		-4.40
4/20	H	Winchester Thurston	5-	3	2	4		-1.13	-1.77
4/21	H	Morgantown, WV	4-	5	-1	4	––	-2.07		-4.81
4/26	H	Greensburg-Salem	10-	3	7	4	+	-1.13	2.57
5/10	A	Butler Area	3-	11	-8	-5	–	1.13	-3.34
5/19	N	Sewickley Academy	3-	13	-10	-15	++	0.00	4.89
									0.00	-11.44

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/30	A	Quaker Valley	0-	12	-0.77
4/14	H	Laurel School	4-	15	1.00
5/19	N	Sewickley Academy	3-	13	-4.89
10-goal correction: -0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1308
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.94		Natl Power Rank	1308
Natl SOS Rating	55.63		Natl SOS Rank	1489
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.13		Natl Quality Win Rank	796
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1157
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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