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Methacton Warriors (5-11)

Region: PA Sub C

State: PA

Coach: Ginger Flocco

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	COUNCIL ROCK SOUTH (10-11)	PA Sub C	80.3		L	6-	14		-0.150
3/30	at Souderton Area (6-12)	PA Sub C	78.9		L	9-	16		-0.175
4/03	at Perkiomen Valley (9-6)	PA PAC	79.1		L	5-	9		-0.175
4/11	CENTRAL BUCKS EAST (12-8)	PA Sub C	83.2		L	6-	11		-0.075
4/12	NORRISTOWN AREA (2-12)	PA Sub C	72.8		W	18-	8		0.050
4/19	at Hatboro-Horsham (15-5)	PA Sub C	86.8		L	6-	19		0.000
4/20	at Upper Perkiomen (1-13)	PA PAC	76.2		W	9-	8		0.150
4/24	CENTRAL BUCKS WEST (16-5)	PA Sub C	82.6		L	8-	14		-0.100
4/26	at Council Rock South (10-11)	PA Sub C	80.3		W	10-	9		0.400
4/30	PHOENIXVILLE (7-8)	PA PAC	78.4		W	11-	8		0.225
5/01	SOUDERTON AREA (6-12)	PA Sub C	78.9		L	10-	11	ot	-0.225
5/03	at Central Bucks East (12-8)	PA Sub C	83.2		L	6-	16		-0.025
5/08	at Norristown Area (2-12)	PA Sub C	72.8		W	18-	5		0.100
5/09	BOYERTOWN AREA (19-3)	PA PAC	90.0	6	L	3-	18		0.000
5/15	HATBORO-HORSHAM (15-5)	PA Sub C	86.8		L	3-	19		0.000
5/17	at Central Bucks West (16-5)	PA Sub C	82.6		L	6-	14		-0.050
			79.7						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	Council Rock South	6-	14	-8	-4	––	-1.07	-4.33
3/30	A	Souderton Area	9-	16	-7	-3	–	1.07	-3.68
4/03	A	Perkiomen Valley	5-	9	-4	-3		1.07	-1.10
4/11	H	Central Bucks East	6-	11	-5	-7	+	-1.07	2.12
4/12	H	Norristown Area	18-	8	10	8	+	-1.07	2.22
4/19	A	Hatboro-Horsham	6-	19	-13	-13		1.07	-0.47
4/20	A	Upper Perkiomen	9-	8	1	4	–	1.07	-3.43
4/24	H	Central Bucks West	8-	14	-6	-6		-1.07	-0.46
4/26	A	Council Rock South	10-	9	1	-6	+++	1.07	6.82
4/30	H	Phoenixville	11-	8	3	1	+	-1.07	2.07
5/01	H	Souderton Area	10-	11	-1	-1		-1.07	0.18
5/03	A	Central Bucks East	6-	16	-10	-9		1.07	-0.74
5/08	A	Norristown Area	18-	5	13	6	+++	1.07	7.37
5/09	H	Boyertown Area	3-	18	-15	-14		-1.07	-0.65
5/15	H	Hatboro-Horsham	3-	19	-16	-10	––	-1.07	-5.61
5/17	A	Central Bucks West	6-	14	-8	-8		1.07	-0.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	H	Norristown Area	18-	8	0.00
4/19	A	Hatboro-Horsham	6-	19	0.47
5/03	A	Central Bucks East	6-	16	0.00
5/08	A	Norristown Area	18-	5	-3.00
5/09	H	Boyertown Area	3-	18	0.65
5/15	H	Hatboro-Horsham	3-	19	6.00
10-goal correction: 0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	545
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.09		Natl Power Rank	545
Natl SOS Rating	71.47		Natl SOS Rank	345
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1116
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1384
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-13.0


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