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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Middle Creek Mustangs (5-8)

Region: NC East

State: NC

Coach: Ashley Rupper

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/06	W.G. ENLOE (5-13)	NC East	67.9		W	7-	5		0.250
3/08	at Riverside, NC (1-10)	NC E Cen	64.2		L	7-	8		-0.425
3/12	at Cardinal Gibbons, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		L	5-	7		-0.175
3/14	RIVERSIDE, NC (1-10)	NC E Cen	64.2		W	11-	4		0.050
3/20	CARDINAL GIBBONS, NC (9-8)	NC East	71.8		L	3-	10		-0.200
3/22	CARY (4-13)	NC East	65.8			-
3/28	WAKEFIELD, NC (11-5)	NC East	72.7		L	12-	19		-0.175
4/12	at W.G. Enloe (5-13)	NC East	67.9		L	7-	9		-0.225
4/13	at Athens Drive (8-9)	NC East	71.8		L	1-	8		-0.150
4/17	ST. MARY'S, NC (1-7)	NC East	64.1		W	15-	2		0.050
4/20	ATHENS DRIVE (8-9)	NC East	71.8		L	4-	11		-0.200
4/24	at Green Hope (17-5)	NC E Cen	77.2	3	L	7-	8		-0.050
4/25	BROUGHTON (11-8)	NC East	71.9		W	12-	8		0.300
4/27	CARY (4-13)	NC East	65.8		W	15-	2		0.075
			70.1						-0.87

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	W.G. Enloe	7-	5	2	0		-0.75	1.80
3/08	A	Riverside, NC	7-	8	-1	7	–––	0.75	-7.56
3/12	A	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	5-	7	-2	-3		0.75	1.44
3/14	H	Riverside, NC	11-	4	7	8		-0.75	-1.05
3/20	H	Cardinal Gibbons, NC	3-	10	-7	-2	––	-0.75	-5.05
3/28	H	Wakefield, NC	12-	19	-7	-3	––	-0.75	-4.50
4/12	A	W.G. Enloe	7-	9	-2	-1		0.75	-0.71
4/13	A	Athens Drive	1-	8	-7	-4	–	0.75	-3.29
4/17	H	St. Mary's, NC	15-	2	13	8	++	-0.75	4.56
4/20	H	Athens Drive	4-	11	-7	-2	––	-0.75	-4.79
4/24	A	Green Hope	7-	8	-1	-8	+++	0.75	7.09
4/25	H	Broughton	12-	8	4	-2	++	-0.75	5.72
4/27	H	Cary	15-	2	13	7	+++	-0.75	6.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/17	H	St. Mary's, NC	15-	2	-3.00
4/27	H	Cary	15-	2	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.46

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1400
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.50		Natl Power Rank	1400
Natl SOS Rating	55.69		Natl SOS Rank	1481
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.87		Natl Quality Win Rank	2005
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1214
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.3

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