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Strength of Schedule

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Middlesex School (9-4)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Natalie Soule

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/11	ST. PAUL'S SCHOOL, NH (3-8)	NE	78.1		W	4-	3		0.150
4/14	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (15-0)	NE	86.9	2	L	7-	10		-0.150
4/18	at Milton Academy (8-8)	NE	80.9		W	7-	6		0.300
4/21	THAYER ACADEMY (9-3)	NE	84.1	5	L	7-	8		-0.225
4/23	at Governor Dummer Academ (6-6)	NE	80.7		W	5-	2		0.275
4/25	LAWRENCE ACADEMY (1-8)	NE	76.3		W	8-	7		0.100
5/01	RIVERS SCHOOL (5-9)	NE	76.8		W	11-	7		0.100
5/02	at Tabor Academy (3-10)	NE	74.4		W	14-	3		0.075
5/05	at Groton School (6-8)	NE	80.6		W	13-	12		0.275
5/12	at Buckingham, B & N (4-8)	NE	76.7		W	14-	12	ot	0.150
5/21	ST. MARK'S, MA (3-9)	NE	75.7		W	12-	5		0.075
5/23	at Pomfret School (2-8)	NE	74.2			-
5/24	BROOKS SCHOOL (13-2)	NE	84.5	4	L	4-	9		-0.200
5/26	at St. George's School, R (12-6)	NE	81.8	10	L	15-	16	ot	-0.175
			80.6						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/11	H	St. Paul's School, NH	4-	3	1	4	–	-1.33	-2.92
4/14	H	Noble & Greenough	7-	10	-3	-4		-1.33	0.68
4/18	A	Milton Academy	7-	6	1	-2	+	1.33	2.71
4/21	H	Thayer Academy	7-	8	-1	-1		-1.33	-0.14
4/23	A	Governor Dummer Academ	5-	2	3	-1	++	1.33	4.18
4/25	H	Lawrence Academy	8-	7	1	6	––	-1.33	-4.84
5/01	H	Rivers School	11-	7	4	6	–	-1.33	-2.19
5/02	A	Tabor Academy	14-	3	11	7	+	1.33	3.53
5/05	A	Groton School	13-	12	1	-1	+	1.33	2.43
5/12	A	Buckingham, B & N	14-	12	2	4		1.33	-1.83
5/21	H	St. Mark's, MA	12-	5	7	7		-1.33	0.20
5/24	H	Brooks School	4-	9	-5	-2	–	-1.33	-3.44
5/26	A	St. George's School, R	15-	16	-1	-3		1.33	1.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/02	A	Tabor Academy	14-	3	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.08

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	298
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.52		Natl Power Rank	298
Natl SOS Rating	72.68		Natl SOS Rank	296
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	249
W-L Pct Rating	0.69		W-L Pct Rank	460
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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