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Minnechaug Falcons (10-6 - 1)

Region: MA West D1

State: MA

Coach: David Yelle

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	SOUTH HADLEY (14-3)	MA West D1	82.6		T	10-	10		0.000
4/05	SOUTH WINDSOR (11-7)	CT Div 1	83.3		L	5-	11		-0.225
4/10	AMHERST-PELHAM (9-8)	MA West D1	77.6		W	15-	10		0.175
4/10	CONARD (11-5)	CT Div 1	81.7		L	6-	16		-0.250
4/17	at West Springfield, MA (2-9)	MA West D1	64.0			-
4/24	at East Longmeadow (2-9)	MA West D1	69.0		W	17-	10		0.150
4/26	WILBRAHAM & MONSON (2-6)	NE	71.6		W	13-	6		0.000
4/30	at Cathedral, MA (0-13)	MA West D1	56.5		W	17-	6		0.000
5/02	CATHEDRAL, MA (0-13)	MA West D1	56.5		W	14-	4		0.000
5/03	at Agawam (16-7)	MA West D1	82.5		L	10-	12		-0.200
5/08	LONGMEADOW (21-1)	MA West D1	92.1	1	L	2-	18		-0.025
5/11	at Northampton (3-8)	MA West D1	75.5			-
5/18	EAST LONGMEADOW (2-9)	MA West D1	69.0		W	13-	8		0.075
5/21	at Westfield HS, MA (5-11)	MA West D1	71.4		W	16-	11		0.150
5/22	AGAWAM (16-7)	MA West D1	82.5		W	11-	5		0.250
5/25	at Longmeadow (21-1)	MA West D1	92.1	1	L	1-	13		0.000
5/29	NORTHAMPTON (3-8)	MA West D1	75.5			-
5/29	WESTFIELD HS, MA (5-11)	MA West D1	71.4		W	18-	11		0.100
5/31	at Westfield HS, MA (5-11)	MA West D1	71.4			-
6/06	AMHERST-PELHAM (9-8)	MA West D1	77.6		W	13-	10		0.175
6/07	at Longmeadow (21-1)	MA West D1	92.1	1	L	0-	13		0.000
			79.1						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	H	South Hadley	10-	10	0	1		-1.16	-0.80
4/05	H	South Windsor	5-	11	-6	-1	––	-0.94		-4.63
4/10	H	Amherst-Pelham	15-	10	5	3		-1.16	1.70
4/10	H	Conard	6-	16	-10	0	–––	-0.94		10.18
4/24	A	East Longmeadow	17-	10	7	4	+	1.16	2.51
4/26	H	Wilbraham & Monson	13-	6	7	11	–	-1.25		-3.62
4/30	A	Cathedral, MA	17-	6	11	10		1.16	0.56
5/02	H	Cathedral, MA	14-	4	10	13	–	-1.16	-2.77
5/03	A	Agawam	10-	12	-2	-2		1.16	0.41
5/08	H	Longmeadow	2-	18	-16	-9	–––	-1.16	-6.51
5/18	H	East Longmeadow	13-	8	5	7		-1.16	-1.82
5/21	A	Westfield HS, MA	16-	11	5	4		1.16	1.32
5/22	H	Agawam	11-	5	6	0	+++	-1.16	6.09
5/25	A	Longmeadow	1-	13	-12	-12		1.16	-0.18
5/29	H	Westfield HS, MA	18-	11	7	6		-1.16	0.99
6/06	H	Amherst-Pelham	13-	10	3	3		-1.16	-0.30
6/07	A	Longmeadow	0-	13	-13	-12		1.16	-1.18
									0.00	-18.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Conard	6-	16	0.00
4/30	A	Cathedral, MA	17-	6	-0.56
5/02	H	Cathedral, MA	14-	4	2.77
5/08	H	Longmeadow	2-	18	6.00
5/25	A	Longmeadow	1-	13	0.18
6/07	A	Longmeadow	0-	13	1.18
10-goal correction: 0.56

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	343
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.96		Natl Power Rank	343
Natl SOS Rating	70.26		Natl SOS Rank	409
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	545
W-L Pct Rating	0.62		W-L Pct Rank	632
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	0.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.0


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