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Marriotts Ridge Mustangs (9-7)

Region: MD 1AState: MDCoach: Natalie Gaieski

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27at Atholton (5-7)MD 2A73.7W14-10 0.175  
3/30WILDE LAKE (3-11)MD 3A69.8W14- 6 0.025  
4/03at Urbana (7-9)MD 3A76.4W13- 8 0.250  
4/13at Long Reach (1-10)MD 3A64.2W20- 4 0.000  
4/14vs. Bel Air # (8-5)MD 3A82.0L8-13 -0.175  
4/14vs. North Carroll # (11-7)MD 3A79.6L14-15 -0.200  
4/17at Hammond (5-7)MD 2A72.8W9- 8 0.150  
4/20HOWARD (4-10)MD 2A69.3W19- 7 0.000  
4/24GLENELG HS (15-3)MD 2A90.35L4-21 -0.025  
4/26OAKLAND MILLS (4-9)MD 1A71.0W9- 8 0.025  
5/01at Mt. Hebron (19-1)MD 3A98.91L2-24 0.000  
5/04at River Hill (7-6)MD 3A79.0L11-13 -0.225  
5/07at Liberty, MD (11-4)MD 2A85.0L8-12 -0.100  
5/08RESERVOIR (1-9)MD 2A68.4W20- 5 0.000  
5/11OAKLAND MILLS (4-9)MD 1A71.0W26- 4 0.025  
5/14PIKESVILLE (10-7)MD 2A78.5L8-13 -0.250  
# Neutral site 80.0     -0.33  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27AAtholton14-104   3       1.20       0.84
3/30HWilde Lake14-68   9       -1.20       -0.97
4/03AUrbana13-85   0       ++1.20       4.85
4/13ALong Reach20-416   12       ++1.20       4.02
4/14NBel Air8-13-5   -3       0.00       -1.66
4/14NNorth Carroll14-15-1   -2       0.00       0.76
4/17AHammond9-81   4       1.20       -3.35
4/20HHoward19-712   11       -1.20       1.09
4/24HGlenelg HS4-21-17   -9       –––-1.20       -7.58
4/26HOakland Mills9-81   9       –––-1.20       -7.66
5/01AMt. Hebron2-24-22   -18       1.20       -3.75
5/04ARiver Hill11-13-2   -1       1.20       -0.69
5/07ALiberty, MD8-12-4   -6       +1.20       2.12
5/08HReservoir20-515   11       +-1.20       3.95
5/11HOakland Mills26-422   9       +++-1.20       13.34
5/14HPikesville8-13-5   0       ––-1.20       -5.32
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/13ALong Reach20-4-4.02
4/20HHoward19-7-1.09
4/24HGlenelg HS4-217.00
5/01AMt. Hebron2-243.75
5/08HReservoir20-5-3.95
5/11HOakland Mills26-412.00
10-goal correction: -0.64

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 77.   Natl CCR Rank 603
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 77.47   Natl Power Rank 603
Natl SOS Rating 72.58   Natl SOS Rank 302
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.33   Natl Quality Win Rank 1551
W-L Pct Rating 0.56   W-L Pct Rank 782
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -19.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -19.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 10.7



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