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Mt. St. Joseph Academy Mounties (6-10)

Region: PA CAL

State: PA

Coach: Krista Gerhard

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	VILLA MARIA ACADEMY (14-7)	PA CAL	83.4			-
3/27	at Gwynedd-Mercy Academy (11-6)	PA CAL	82.5		W	15-	11		0.375
3/28	at Nazareth Academy SG (1-12)	PA CAL	73.2		W	17-	3		0.025
3/30	SEWICKLEY ACADEMY (15-7)	PA WP D2	80.7		W	14-	12		0.250
4/03	at Sacred Heart CDS, PA (1-12)	PA CAL	77.0		W	16-	10		0.125
4/14	at Cheltenham (17-3)	PA Sub A	87.8		L	8-	17		0.000
4/19	at Villa Maria Academy (14-7)	PA CAL	83.4		L	6-	11		-0.100
4/23	at Villa Joseph Marie SG (9-9)	PA CAL	79.2		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/24	GWYNEDD-MERCY ACADEMY (11-6)	PA CAL	82.5		L	10-	11	ot	-0.175
4/26	at Jenkintown (8-8)	PA Indep	78.9		L	12-	13	ot	-0.275
5/01	SACRED HEART CDS, PA (1-12)	PA CAL	77.0		W	19-	14		0.075
5/02	VILLA MARIA ACADEMY (14-7)	PA CAL	83.4		L	12-	13	ot	-0.150
5/03	VILLA JOSEPH MARIE SG (9-9)	PA CAL	79.2		L	8-	11		-0.300
5/05	at North Penn (13-6)	PA Sub N	88.8			-
5/06	MERION MERCY ACADEMY (17-3)	PA CAL	87.4		L	3-	19		-0.075
5/08	NAZARETH ACADEMY SG (1-12)	PA CAL	73.2		W	15-	3		0.000
5/09	at Germantown Academy (17-7)	PA IAC	86.6		L	11-	21		-0.025
5/10	at Merion Mercy Academy (17-3)	PA CAL	87.4		L	6-	18		-0.025
			80.9						-0.53

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	A	Gwynedd-Mercy Academy	15-	11	4	-5	+++	1.07	8.90
3/28	A	Nazareth Academy SG	17-	3	14	9	++	1.07	5.07
3/30	H	Sewickley Academy	14-	12	2	0	+	-1.10		2.22
4/03	A	Sacred Heart CDS, PA	16-	10	6	5		1.07	0.82
4/14	A	Cheltenham	8-	17	-9	-10		1.07	1.07
4/19	A	Villa Maria Academy	6-	11	-5	-6		1.07	0.84
4/23	A	Villa Joseph Marie SG	9-	10	-1	0		1.07	-0.69
4/24	H	Gwynedd-Mercy Academy	10-	11	-1	-3		-1.07	1.75
4/26	A	Jenkintown	12-	13	-1	1		1.07	-1.86
5/01	H	Sacred Heart CDS, PA	19-	14	5	7	–	-1.07	-2.33
5/02	H	Villa Maria Academy	12-	13	-1	-4	+	-1.07	2.70
5/03	H	Villa Joseph Marie SG	8-	11	-3	2	––	-1.07	-4.84
5/06	H	Merion Mercy Academy	3-	19	-16	-7	–––	-1.07	-8.87
5/08	H	Nazareth Academy SG	15-	3	12	11		-1.07	0.92
5/09	A	Germantown Academy	11-	21	-10	-9		1.07	-0.77
5/10	A	Merion Mercy Academy	6-	18	-12	-9	–	1.07	-2.72
									0.00	2.22

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Nazareth Academy SG	17-	3	-4.00
5/06	H	Merion Mercy Academy	3-	19	6.00
5/08	H	Nazareth Academy SG	15-	3	-0.92
5/09	A	Germantown Academy	11-	21	0.00
5/10	A	Merion Mercy Academy	6-	18	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	436
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.37		Natl Power Rank	436
Natl SOS Rating	73.57		Natl SOS Rank	245
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.53		Natl Quality Win Rank	1766
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1240
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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