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Mt. St. Mary's Academy Mountie Thunder (10-3)

Region: NY MartinState: NYCoach: Bill Riffel

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/20GRAND ISLAND (6-9)NY B Sec 669.9L6-10 -0.300  
4/23BUFFALO SEMINARY, NY (0-3)NY Martin44.4W20- 4 0.000  
4/24at Nichols School (2-9)NY Martin71.3L7- 9 -0.175  
5/01MT. MERCY ACADEMY (0-4)NY Martin55.3W16- 7 0.000  
5/03NARDIN ACADEMY (1-2)NY Martin59.4W12- 4 0.000  
5/08at Grand Island (6-9)NY B Sec 669.9W11-103ot0.300  
5/09at Mt. Mercy Academy (0-4)NY Martin55.3W19- 5 0.050  
5/11SACRED HEART, BUFFALO (1-3)NY Martin58.3W19- 2 0.000  
5/14at Amherst (16-4)NY C Sec 684.71L1-16 0.000  
5/15at Buffalo Seminary, NY (0-3)NY Martin44.4W21- 2 0.000  
5/16vs. Nardin Academy # (1-2)NY Martin59.4W11- 4 0.050  
5/21SACRED HEART, BUFFALO (1-3)NY Martin58.3W14- 5 0.000  
5/26vs. Mt. Mercy Academy # (0-4)NY Martin55.3W13- 4 0.000  
# Neutral site 64.7     -0.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/20HGrand Island6-10-4   2       ––-1.66       -5.59
4/23HBuffalo Seminary, NY20-416   19       -1.66       -3.47
4/24ANichols School7-9-2   -3       1.66       0.94
5/01HMt. Mercy Academy16-79   12       -1.66       -2.64
5/03HNardin Academy12-48   10       -1.66       -1.58
5/08AGrand Island11-101   -2       +1.66       2.72
5/09AMt. Mercy Academy19-514   8       ++1.66       5.67
5/11HSacred Heart, Buffalo19-217   11       ++-1.66       5.57
5/14AAmherst1-16-15   -15       1.66       -0.11
5/15ABuffalo Seminary, NY21-219   16       +1.66       2.84
5/16NNardin Academy11-47   8       0.00       -0.93
5/21HSacred Heart, Buffalo14-59   11       -1.66       -2.43
5/26NMt. Mercy Academy13-49   10       0.00       -0.99
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/23HBuffalo Seminary, NY20-43.47
5/09AMt. Mercy Academy19-5-4.00
5/11HSacred Heart, Buffalo19-2-5.57
5/14AAmherst1-160.11
5/15ABuffalo Seminary, NY21-2-2.84
10-goal correction: -0.68

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 71.   Natl CCR Rank 1149
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 70.71   Natl Power Rank 1149
Natl SOS Rating 49.42   Natl SOS Rank 1875
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.08   Natl Quality Win Rank 1195
W-L Pct Rating 0.77   W-L Pct Rank 282
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 3-0   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 8.3



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