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Mt. Hebron Vikings (19-1)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Kuhl-McClelland

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	at Wilde Lake (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		W	25-	1		0.000
3/27	RIVER HILL (7-6)	MD 3A	79.0		W	23-	3		0.000
3/30	ATHOLTON (5-7)	MD 2A	73.7		W	23-	0		0.000
4/02	CENTENNIAL, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		W	17-	4		0.000
4/07	vs. St. Paul's SG, MD # (10-8)	MD IAAM A	92.2		W	7-	6		0.075
4/13	CONESTOGA (11-9)	PA Centrl	89.3		W	14-	3		0.000
4/14	WEST GENESEE (24-0)	NY A Sec 3	****		L	6-	14		-0.175
4/17	at Oakland Mills (4-9)	MD 1A	71.0		W	20-	2		0.000
4/20	LONG REACH (1-10)	MD 3A	64.2		W	28-	0		0.000
4/24	at Howard (4-10)	MD 2A	69.3		W	26-	0		0.000
4/26	at Hammond (5-7)	MD 2A	72.8		W	27-	3		0.000
5/01	MARRIOTTS RIDGE (9-7)	MD 1A	77.5		W	24-	2		0.000
5/03	at Reservoir (1-9)	MD 2A	68.4		W	26-	1		0.000
5/05	MOORESTOWN (23-3)	NJ BuCo	96.4		W	11-	7		0.150
5/08	GLENELG HS (15-3)	MD 2A	90.3	5	W	17-	7		0.050
5/12	WILDE LAKE (3-11)	MD 3A	69.8		W	22-	1		0.000
5/14	RIVER HILL (7-6)	MD 3A	79.0		W	26-	1		0.000
5/17	GLENELG HS (15-3)	MD 2A	90.3	5	W	14-	5		0.050
5/19	vs. Walkersville # (13-3)	MD 2A	79.5		W	20-	4		0.000
5/22	vs. North Harford # (17-2)	MD 2A	89.7	7	W	7-	6		1.050
# Neutral site			83.3						1.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Wilde Lake	25-	1	24	24		1.20	0.38
3/27	H	River Hill	23-	3	20	18		-1.20	1.87
3/30	H	Atholton	23-	0	23	23		-1.20	0.39
4/02	H	Centennial, MD	17-	4	13	12		-1.20	1.21
4/07	N	St. Paul's SG, MD	7-	6	1	7	––	0.00		-5.70
4/13	H	Conestoga	14-	3	11	11		-1.14		0.27
4/14	H	West Genesee	6-	14	-8	-3	––	-1.46		-5.36
4/17	A	Oakland Mills	20-	2	18	23	––	1.20	-5.32
4/20	H	Long Reach	28-	0	28	31	–	-1.20	-3.43
4/24	A	Howard	26-	0	26	26		1.20	0.43
4/26	A	Hammond	27-	3	24	21	+	1.20	2.60
5/01	H	Marriotts Ridge	24-	2	22	18	+	-1.20	3.75
5/03	A	Reservoir	26-	1	25	26		1.20	-0.70
5/05	H	Moorestown	11-	7	4	4		-1.41		0.09
5/08	H	Glenelg HS	17-	7	10	8	+	-1.20	2.37
5/12	H	Wilde Lake	22-	1	21	26	––	-1.20	-5.02
5/14	H	River Hill	26-	1	25	18	+++	-1.20	6.87
5/17	H	Glenelg HS	14-	5	9	8		-1.20	1.37
5/19	N	Walkersville	20-	4	16	16		0.00	-0.01
5/22	N	North Harford	7-	6	1	8	–––	0.00	-6.76
									0.00	-10.70

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	A	Wilde Lake	25-	1	-0.38
3/27	H	River Hill	23-	3	-1.87
3/30	H	Atholton	23-	0	-0.39
4/02	H	Centennial, MD	17-	4	-1.21
4/13	H	Conestoga	14-	3	-0.27
4/17	A	Oakland Mills	20-	2	5.32
4/20	H	Long Reach	28-	0	3.43
4/24	A	Howard	26-	0	-0.43
4/26	A	Hammond	27-	3	-2.60
5/01	H	Marriotts Ridge	24-	2	-3.75
5/03	A	Reservoir	26-	1	0.70
5/08	H	Glenelg HS	17-	7	0.00
5/12	H	Wilde Lake	22-	1	5.02
5/14	H	River Hill	26-	1	-6.87
5/19	N	Walkersville	20-	4	0.01
10-goal correction: -0.16

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	199.		Natl CCR Rank	3
Natl Poll Vote	100.		Natl Poll Rank	3
Natl Power Rating	98.90		Natl Power Rank	3
Natl SOS Rating	79.04		Natl SOS Rank	111
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	82
W-L Pct Rating	0.95		W-L Pct Rank	35
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	19-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	15.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	8.7


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