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North Branford Thunderbirds (9-6)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Lori Rubino

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	MERCY, CT (7-10)	CT Div 1	77.2		L	6-	12		-0.125
4/10	at Old Lyme (13-3)	CT Div 2	78.9		L	4-	12		-0.075
4/14	at Hamden (6-10)	CT Div 1	77.2		L	2-	11		-0.075
4/16	VALLEY REGIONAL (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		W	10-	7		0.150
4/19	SACRED HEART, CT (3-12)	CT Div 2	70.4		W	11-	5		0.200
4/21	at West Haven (7-9)	CT Div 2	75.3		L	4-	8		-0.150
4/24	at Valley Regional (8-8)	CT Div 2	70.1		W	12-	4		0.175
4/25	FITCH (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	10-	7		0.250
4/30	OLD LYME (13-3)	CT Div 2	78.9		L	4-	15		-0.100
5/02	at Haddam-Killingworth (3-10)	CT Div 2	68.3		W	5-	1		0.175
5/07	at Morgan School (6-8)	CT Div 2	71.8		W	8-	7	ot	0.250
5/09	MORGAN SCHOOL (6-8)	CT Div 2	71.8		W	9-	8	ot	0.200
5/10	at Old Saybrook (0-12)	CT Div 2	60.2			-
5/14	HADDAM-KILLINGWORTH (3-10)	CT Div 2	68.3		W	7-	4		0.150
5/21	at Sacred Heart, CT (3-12)	CT Div 2	70.4		W	11-	10		0.225
5/24	OLD SAYBROOK (0-12)	CT Div 2	60.2			-
6/06	AMITY (11-8)	CT Div 2	78.9		L	6-	16		-0.075
			68.6						1.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	H	Mercy, CT	6-	12	-6	-5		-0.72	-0.60
4/10	A	Old Lyme	4-	12	-8	-7		0.72	-0.90
4/14	A	Hamden	2-	11	-9	-7		0.72	-1.56
4/16	H	Valley Regional	10-	7	3	4		-0.72	-0.99
4/19	H	Sacred Heart, CT	11-	5	6	2	+	-0.72	3.97
4/21	A	West Haven	4-	8	-4	-4		0.72	-0.39
4/24	A	Valley Regional	12-	4	8	3	++	0.72	5.46
4/25	H	Fitch	10-	7	3	0	+	-0.72	3.36
4/30	H	Old Lyme	4-	15	-11	-6	––	-0.72	-5.35
5/02	A	Haddam-Killingworth	5-	1	4	3		0.72	1.15
5/07	A	Morgan School	8-	7	1	0		0.72	0.57
5/09	H	Morgan School	9-	8	1	2		-0.72	-0.88
5/14	H	Haddam-Killingworth	7-	4	3	4		-0.72	-1.30
5/21	A	Sacred Heart, CT	11-	10	1	1		0.72	0.41
6/06	H	Amity	6-	16	-10	-7	–	-0.72	-2.95
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/30	H	Old Lyme	4-	15	1.00
6/06	H	Amity	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	915
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.79		Natl Power Rank	915
Natl SOS Rating	53.62		Natl SOS Rank	1647
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	88
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	674
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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