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Northern-Calvert Patriots (8-6)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Clarence Tennell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	CHOPTICON (6-3)	MD 3A	79.5		L	2-	10		-0.075
3/26	at Calvert (0-8)	MD 3A	63.8		W	12-	3		0.100
3/30	HUNTINGTOWN (3-7)	MD 3A	70.0		W	11-	5		0.175
4/10	PATUXENT (1-5)	MD 4A	69.9		W	10-	9		0.175
4/13	at Southern, Anne Arundel (5-9)	MD 2A	74.9		L	5-	11		-0.125
4/17	at Leonardtown (13-2)	MD 4A	79.5		L	3-	12		-0.050
4/20	GREAT MILLS (6-8)	MD 4A	71.6		W	8-	6		0.200
4/23	at Chopticon (6-3)	MD 3A	79.5		L	3-	16		-0.025
4/27	CALVERT (0-8)	MD 3A	63.8		W	14-	5		0.025
4/30	at Huntingtown (3-7)	MD 3A	70.0		W	7-	4		0.225
5/03	at Patuxent (1-5)	MD 4A	69.9		W	7-	4		0.250
5/08	at Great Mills (6-8)	MD 4A	71.6		L	6-	7		-0.225
5/11	NORTHEAST (2-11)	MD 3A	69.5		W	11-	8		0.175
5/14	at Kent Island (12-4)	MD 2A	79.1		L	5-	15		-0.050
			76.0						0.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Chopticon	2-	10	-8	-7		-1.20	-1.40
3/26	A	Calvert	12-	3	9	6	+	1.20	2.64
3/30	H	Huntingtown	11-	5	6	3	+	-1.20	2.72
4/10	H	Patuxent	10-	9	1	3		-1.20	-1.67
4/13	A	Southern, Anne Arundel	5-	11	-6	-5		1.20	-0.50
4/17	A	Leonardtown	3-	12	-9	-8		1.20	-1.34
4/20	H	Great Mills	8-	6	2	2		-1.20	0.40
4/23	A	Chopticon	3-	16	-13	-9	––	1.20	-4.01
4/27	H	Calvert	14-	5	9	9		-1.20	0.25
4/30	A	Huntingtown	7-	4	3	1	+	1.20	2.11
5/03	A	Patuxent	7-	4	3	0	+	1.20	2.73
5/08	A	Great Mills	6-	7	-1	-1		1.20	-0.20
5/11	H	Northeast	11-	8	3	3		-1.20	0.32
5/14	A	Kent Island	5-	15	-10	-8	–	1.20	-2.04
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Chopticon	3-	16	3.00
5/14	A	Kent Island	5-	15	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	1012
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.56		Natl Power Rank	1012
Natl SOS Rating	64.66		Natl SOS Rank	723
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.77		Natl Quality Win Rank	231
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	763
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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