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Notre Dame Prep, MD Blazers (8-11)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Mary Bartel

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at McDonogh School (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	7-	11		-0.150
3/22	at Maryvale Prep (5-10)	MD IAAM A	89.1		W	10-	4		0.200
3/26	MT. DE SALES ACADEMY (8-9)	MD IAAM A	91.2	9	W	12-	11		0.175
3/27	at Mercy, MD (5-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8		W	11-	6		0.150
3/29	at Roland Park CS (9-7)	MD IAAM A	92.8	7	W	13-	11		0.250
3/31	CHERRY CREEK (17-1)	CO Centen	92.6		L	8-	10		-0.275
4/03	at St. Mary's, MD (11-11)	MD IAAM A	93.4	5	L	11-	12		-0.225
4/07	at Dulaney (13-3)	MD 4A	90.8		L	7-	14		-0.275
4/07	vs. Hereford # (9-7)	MD 2A	83.7		L	8-	11		-0.475
4/10	STS. STEPHEN'S & AGNES (24-1)	DC ISL A	99.5		L	4-	11		-0.100
4/12	SETON KEOUGH (7-9)	MD IAAM A	90.5	10	W	15-	6		0.175
4/14	LOYOLA ACADEMY, IL (22-5)	IL N Sub	86.9		W	11-	3		0.075
4/16	at Severn School (12-8)	MD IAAM A	93.9	4	L	8-	12		-0.200
4/17	at St. Paul's SG, MD (10-8)	MD IAAM A	93.1	6	L	9-	10		-0.250
4/19	at Bryn Mawr SG (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.5	2	L	5-	8		-0.175
4/24	ARCHBISHOP SPALDING (5-13)	MD IAAM A	86.7		W	12-	8		0.100
4/26	at John Carroll School (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.3	3	L	5-	8		-0.200
5/04	SETON KEOUGH (7-9)	MD IAAM A	90.5	10	W	13-	11	ot	0.175
5/08	at McDonogh School (19-2)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	8-	16		-0.150
# Neutral site			93.6						-1.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	McDonogh School	7-	11	-4	-4		0.86	0.31
3/22	A	Maryvale Prep	10-	4	6	2	+	0.86	3.67
3/26	H	Mt. de Sales Academy	12-	11	1	3		-0.86	-1.57
3/27	A	Mercy, MD	11-	6	5	4		0.86	1.47
3/29	A	Roland Park CS	13-	11	2	0	+	0.86	2.03
3/31	H	Cherry Creek	8-	10	-2	1	–	-1.07		-2.83
4/03	A	St. Mary's, MD	11-	12	-1	-1		0.86	0.01
4/07	A	Dulaney	7-	14	-7	1	–––	1.03		-7.55
4/07	N	Hereford	8-	11	-3	9	–––	0.00		11.64
4/10	H	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	4-	11	-7	-6		-1.16		-1.00
4/12	H	Seton Keough	15-	6	9	3	++	-0.86	5.95
4/14	H	Loyola Academy, IL	11-	3	8	7		-1.07		1.49
4/16	A	Severn School	8-	12	-4	-2	–	0.86	-2.46
4/17	A	St. Paul's SG, MD	9-	10	-1	0		0.86	-1.21
4/19	A	Bryn Mawr SG	5-	8	-3	-3		0.86	-0.44
4/24	H	Archbishop Spalding	12-	8	4	6		-0.86	-1.96
4/26	A	John Carroll School	5-	8	-3	-2		0.86	-1.08
5/04	H	Seton Keough	13-	11	2	3		-0.86	-1.05
5/08	A	McDonogh School	8-	16	-8	-4	–	0.86	-3.69
									0.00	-21.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	188.		Natl CCR Rank	27
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	34
Natl Power Rating	92.33		Natl Power Rank	27
Natl SOS Rating	98.66		Natl SOS Rank	4
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	2108
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1136
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	4-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	7-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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