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North Harford Hawks (17-2)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Tara Buecker

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	at Hereford (9-7)	MD 2A	83.6		W	13-	7		0.175
3/26	at Eastern Technical (3-7)	MD 2A	73.0		W	13-	4		0.000
3/30	C. MILTON WRIGHT (8-9)	MD 3A	81.0		W	10-	5		0.075
3/31	WESTONBIRT SCHOOL, ENG ( -)				W	15-	2
4/02	at Maryvale Prep (5-10)	MD IAAM A	87.2		W	9-	7		0.200
4/04	JOHN CARROLL SCHOOL (14-3)	MD IAAM A	96.4		L	9-	10		-0.100
4/14	CENTENNIAL, MD (10-5)	MD 3A	85.5		W	17-	12		0.150
4/14	LIBERTY, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	85.0		W	12-	8		0.100
4/17	at Fallston (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		W	10-	6		0.175
4/20	at C. Milton Wright (8-9)	MD 3A	81.0		W	12-	6		0.125
4/25	BEL AIR (8-5)	MD 3A	82.0		W	15-	10		0.075
4/27	FALLSTON (7-7)	MD 3A	83.0		W	11-	10	ot	0.125
4/30	TOWSON HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	W	14-	13		0.175
5/03	at Bel Air (8-5)	MD 3A	82.0		W	16-	10		0.125
5/12	EASTERN TECHNICAL (3-7)	MD 2A	73.0		W	20-	3		0.000
5/14	CATONSVILLE (8-6)	MD 3A	82.7		W	11-	5		0.075
5/17	TOWSON HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	W	11-	10		0.175
5/18	vs. Stephen Decatur # (15-1)	MD 2A	86.8	9	W	13-	9		0.175
5/22	vs. Mt. Hebron # (19-1)	MD 3A	98.9	1	L	6-	7		-0.050
# Neutral site			87.3						1.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Hereford	13-	7	6	3	+	1.20	2.68
3/26	A	Eastern Technical	13-	4	9	12	–	1.20	-3.12
3/30	H	C. Milton Wright	10-	5	5	7	–	-1.20	-2.05
4/02	A	Maryvale Prep	9-	7	2	2		1.03		0.49
4/04	H	John Carroll School	9-	10	-1	-6	++	-1.03		4.62
4/14	H	Centennial, MD	17-	12	5	4		-1.20	0.97
4/14	H	Liberty, MD	12-	8	4	6		-1.20	-1.57
4/17	A	Fallston	10-	6	4	3		1.20	1.00
4/20	A	C. Milton Wright	12-	6	6	5		1.20	1.35
4/25	H	Bel Air	15-	10	5	7	–	-1.20	-2.15
4/27	H	Fallston	11-	10	1	5	––	-1.20	-4.40
4/30	H	Towson HS	14-	13	1	3		-1.20	-1.69
5/03	A	Bel Air	16-	10	6	5		1.20	1.25
5/12	H	Eastern Technical	20-	3	17	15	+	-1.20	2.49
5/14	H	Catonsville	11-	5	6	7		-1.20	-1.02
5/17	H	Towson HS	11-	10	1	3		-1.20	-1.69
5/18	N	Stephen Decatur	13-	9	4	3		0.00	1.20
5/22	N	Mt. Hebron	6-	7	-1	-8	+++	0.00	6.76
									0.00	5.11

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/12	H	Eastern Technical	20-	3	-2.49
10-goal correction: -0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	186.		Natl CCR Rank	41
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	27
Natl Power Rating	89.70		Natl Power Rank	58
Natl SOS Rating	86.08		Natl SOS Rank	33
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.77		Natl Quality Win Rank	32
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	85
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	3.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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