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North Middlesex Patriots (11-7)

Region: MA Cen D1State: MACoach: Rich Murphy

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
4/10ALGONQUIN (13-6)MA Cen D181.0L7-10 -0.200  
4/19at Groton-Dunstable (2-11)MA Cen D151.8-    
4/24SHREWSBURY (13-2)MA Cen D180.6L9-10 -0.225  
4/26at Westborough (9-5)MA Cen D180.7W8- 6 0.350  
5/03at Algonquin (13-6)MA Cen D181.0L8- 9 -0.125  
5/04at Nipmuc (6-8)MA Cen D158.7W10- 0 0.050  
5/06at Acton-Boxborough (13-7)MA No D182.5L4-15 -0.075  
5/07at Wachusett (4-8)MA Cen D166.9W16- 7 0.175  
5/10at Marlborough (1-12)MA Cen D150.2W18- 4 0.000  
5/14GROTON-DUNSTABLE (2-11)MA Cen D151.8W16- 6 0.000  
5/15at Shrewsbury (13-2)MA Cen D180.6L11-12 -0.175  
5/17WESTBOROUGH (9-5)MA Cen D180.7L4-16 -0.225  
5/22ST. PETER-MARIAN (3-9)MA Cen D154.6W15- 5 0.000  
5/23WACHUSETT (4-8)MA Cen D166.9W11- 6 0.100  
5/24NIPMUC (6-8)MA Cen D158.7W15- 5 0.000  
5/26GRAFTON MEMORIAL (7-6)MA Cen D157.9W16- 6 0.000  
5/30at St. Peter-Marian (3-9)MA Cen D154.6W18- 5 0.000  
6/06NIPMUC (6-8)MA Cen D158.7W14- 2 0.000  
6/07at Shrewsbury (13-2)MA Cen D180.6L9-12 -0.175  
 73.1     -0.53  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/10HAlgonquin7-10-3   -2       -1.16       -0.67
4/24HShrewsbury9-10-1   -1       -1.16       -0.38
4/26AWestborough8-62   -4       ++1.16       5.78
5/03AAlgonquin8-9-1   -5       +1.16       3.66
5/04ANipmuc10-010   8       1.16       1.74
5/06AActon-Boxborough4-15-11   -7       ––1.16       -4.40
5/07AWachusett16-79   3       ++1.16       5.60
5/10AMarlborough18-414   13       1.16       0.76
5/14HGroton-Dunstable16-610   13       -1.16       -3.13
5/15AShrewsbury11-12-1   -3       1.16       1.95
5/17HWestborough4-16-12   -1       –––-1.16       10.54
5/22HSt. Peter-Marian15-510   12       -1.16       -1.93
5/23HWachusett11-65   6       -1.16       -0.73
5/24HNipmuc15-510   11       -1.16       -0.59
5/26HGrafton Memorial16-610   12       -1.16       -1.88
5/30ASt. Peter-Marian18-513   10       +1.16       3.40
6/06HNipmuc14-212   11       -1.16       1.41
6/07AShrewsbury9-12-3   -3       1.16       -0.05
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
5/04ANipmuc10-00.00
5/06AActon-Boxborough4-151.00
5/10AMarlborough18-4-0.76
5/14HGroton-Dunstable16-63.13
5/17HWestborough4-162.00
5/22HSt. Peter-Marian15-51.93
5/24HNipmuc15-50.59
5/26HGrafton Memorial16-61.88
5/30ASt. Peter-Marian18-5-3.40
6/06HNipmuc14-2-1.41
10-goal correction: 0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 76.   Natl CCR Rank 694
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.38   Natl Power Rank 694
Natl SOS Rating 60.56   Natl SOS Rank 1007
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.53   Natl Quality Win Rank 1763
W-L Pct Rating 0.61   W-L Pct Rank 656
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 7.3



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