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Norwich Free Academy Wildcats (6-8)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Eric Page

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/04	GUILFORD, CT (13-6)	CT Div 1	81.2		L	6-	13		-0.050
4/10	at East Lyme (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	3-	18		0.000
4/14	at Fitch (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		L	6-	9		-0.250
4/16	LEDYARD (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	13-	8		0.100
4/18	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (3-7)	CT Div 2	68.4		W	13-	3		0.125
4/23	at Stonington (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	7-	13		-0.150
4/26	at St. Bernard, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	72.1		W	10-	5		0.225
5/03	EAST LYME (14-3)	CT Div 1	83.3	8	L	4-	16		0.000
5/08	at Ledyard (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	13-	6		0.150
5/10	at Worcester Academy, MA (4-7)	NE	71.6			-
5/11	FITCH (8-10)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	9-	8		0.225
5/15	STONINGTON (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	6-	12		-0.200
5/18	ST. BERNARD, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	72.1		W	11-	7		0.175
5/21	OLD LYME (13-3)	CT Div 2	78.9		L	10-	17		-0.150
5/31	at Glastonbury (13-6)	CT Div 1	83.7	6	L	2-	10		0.000
			72.3						0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	H	Guilford, CT	6-	13	-7	-8		-0.72	1.06
4/10	A	East Lyme	3-	18	-15	-11	–	0.72	-3.62
4/14	A	Fitch	6-	9	-3	0	–	0.72	-2.63
4/16	H	Ledyard	13-	8	5	6		-0.72	-0.76
4/18	H	Woodstock Academy	13-	3	10	5	++	-0.72	4.55
4/23	A	Stonington	7-	13	-6	-4	–	0.72	-2.24
4/26	A	St. Bernard, CT	10-	5	5	1	+	0.72	3.65
5/03	H	East Lyme	4-	16	-12	-10	–	-0.72	-2.06
5/08	A	Ledyard	13-	6	7	4	+	0.72	2.68
5/11	H	Fitch	9-	8	1	1		-0.72	-0.07
5/15	H	Stonington	6-	12	-6	-2	–	-0.72	-3.68
5/18	H	St. Bernard, CT	11-	7	4	3		-0.72	1.21
5/21	H	Old Lyme	10-	17	-7	-4	–	-0.72	-2.78
5/31	A	Glastonbury	2-	10	-8	-13	++	0.72	4.69
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	East Lyme	3-	18	3.62
4/18	H	Woodstock Academy	13-	3	0.00
5/03	H	East Lyme	4-	16	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	857
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.56		Natl Power Rank	857
Natl SOS Rating	59.05		Natl SOS Rank	1148
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	738
W-L Pct Rating	0.43		W-L Pct Rank	1107
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7

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