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Northwest Catholic Tomahawks (12-7)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: Peter Wallach

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/04	at Conard (11-5)	CT Div 1	81.5		L	4-	11		-0.075
4/05	at Hamden (6-10)	CT Div 1	77.2		L	6-	7		-0.150
4/10	NEWINGTON (4-9)	CT Div 2	73.8		L	6-	7		-0.325
4/12	at Suffield HS (7-8)	CT Div 2	74.2		W	10-	9	ot	0.200
4/20	at Morgan School (6-8)	CT Div 2	71.8		W	9-	8		0.150
4/24	HALL, WEST HARTFORD (10-5)	CT Div 1	82.0		L	6-	7	ot	-0.075
4/28	at Brookfield, CT (19-3)	CT Div 2	82.1		L	8-	14		-0.050
5/02	at Farmington (9-7)	CT Div 2	74.4		W	10-	9		0.200
5/04	EAST CATHOLIC CLUB (4-11)	CT Div 2	66.8		W	14-	5		0.025
5/08	at Newington (4-9)	CT Div 2	73.8		W	7-	4		0.200
5/08	LEDYARD (2-14)	CT Div 2	67.3		W	13-	6		0.050
5/10	HOUSATONIC VALLEY (0-11)	CT Div 2	59.8		W	11-	1		0.000
5/14	FARMINGTON (9-7)	CT Div 2	74.4		W	10-	9		0.175
5/15	WINDSOR (2-11)	CT Div 2	69.3		W	11-	3		0.075
5/17	at East Catholic Club (4-11)	CT Div 2	66.8		W	16-	8		0.050
5/18	at Housatonic Valley (0-11)	CT Div 2	59.8		W	15-	1		0.000
5/21	SIMSBURY (6-9)	CT Div 1	79.3		L	3-	6		-0.125
6/02	at Pomperaug (10-8)	CT Div 2	75.3		W	10-	7		0.250
6/07	at Stonington (15-3)	CT Div 2	77.5		L	6-	11		-0.200
			69.9						0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/04	A	Conard	4-	11	-7	-7		0.72	0.28
4/05	A	Hamden	6-	7	-1	-4	+	0.72	2.98
4/10	H	Newington	6-	7	-1	3	–	-0.72	-3.96
4/12	A	Suffield HS	10-	9	1	2		0.72	-0.84
4/20	A	Morgan School	9-	8	1	4	–	0.72	-2.89
4/24	H	Hall, West Hartford	6-	7	-1	-7	+++	-0.72	6.46
4/28	A	Brookfield, CT	8-	14	-6	-8		0.72	1.98
5/02	A	Farmington	10-	9	1	2		0.72	-0.95
5/04	H	East Catholic Club	14-	5	9	9		-0.72	-0.43
5/08	A	Newington	7-	4	3	2		0.72	1.48
5/08	H	Ledyard	13-	6	7	8		-0.72	-0.79
5/10	H	Housatonic Valley	11-	1	10	15	––	-0.72	-4.82
5/14	H	Farmington	10-	9	1	3	–	-0.72	-2.40
5/15	H	Windsor	11-	3	8	7		-0.72	1.43
5/17	A	East Catholic Club	16-	8	8	8		0.72	0.01
5/18	A	Housatonic Valley	15-	1	14	13		0.72	0.62
5/21	H	Simsbury	3-	6	-3	-5	+	-0.72	2.42
6/02	A	Pomperaug	10-	7	3	0	+	0.72	2.67
6/07	A	Stonington	6-	11	-5	-2	–	0.72	-3.26
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/10	H	Housatonic Valley	11-	1	4.82
5/18	A	Housatonic Valley	15-	1	-0.62
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	695
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	76.39		Natl Power Rank	695
Natl SOS Rating	55.50		Natl SOS Rank	1501
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	541
W-L Pct Rating	0.63		W-L Pct Rank	598
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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