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Old Mill Patriots (8-8)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Penelope Santos

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Northeast (2-11)	MD 3A	69.5		W	16-	6		0.125
3/23	at Southern, Anne Arundel (5-9)	MD 2A	74.9		W	12-	11		0.275
3/28	NORTH COUNTY (2-11)	MD 4A	66.9		W	21-	7		0.000
3/30	ARUNDEL (7-5)	MD 4A	80.9		L	9-	16		-0.150
4/05	vs. Southern, Anne Arundel # (5-9)	MD 2A	74.9		W	8-	6		0.250
4/09	vs. Archbishop Spalding # (5-13)	MD IAAM A	83.9		L	8-	14		-0.050
4/10	at Annapolis (8-7)	MD 3A	81.0		L	6-	11		-0.075
4/12	at North County (2-11)	MD 4A	66.9		W	17-	7		0.050
4/17	SOUTH RIVER (11-4)	MD 4A	86.0	10	L	6-	16		-0.050
4/20	GLEN BURNIE (3-9)	MD 4A	70.1		W	12-	6		0.050
4/24	at Severna Park (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	2-	21		0.000
4/27	at Meade (0-12)	MD 4A	64.7		W	15-	5		0.025
5/01	BROADNECK (13-3)	MD 4A	89.7	6	L	3-	16		0.000
5/04	CHESAPEAKE, AA COUNTY (10-8)	MD 4A	79.8		L	10-	19		-0.175
5/10	at Meade (0-12)	MD 4A	64.7		W	16-	8		0.025
5/12	at Severna Park (20-0)	MD 3A	96.3	2	L	4-	19		0.000
# Neutral site			81.2						0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Northeast	16-	6	10	5	++	1.20	5.50
3/23	A	Southern, Anne Arundel	12-	11	1	-1	+	1.20	2.28
3/28	H	North County	21-	7	14	10	++	-1.20	4.07
3/30	H	Arundel	9-	16	-7	-4	–	-1.20	-3.11
4/05	N	Southern, Anne Arundel	8-	6	2	0	+	0.00	2.08
4/09	N	Archbishop Spalding	8-	14	-6	-8		0.00		1.98
4/10	A	Annapolis	6-	11	-5	-7		1.20	1.54
4/12	A	North County	17-	7	10	8	+	1.20	2.47
4/17	H	South River	6-	16	-10	-8	–	-1.20	-2.45
4/20	H	Glen Burnie	12-	6	6	8	–	-1.20	-2.26
4/24	A	Severna Park	2-	21	-19	-17	–	1.20	-2.14
4/27	A	Meade	15-	5	10	9		1.20	0.64
5/01	H	Broadneck	3-	16	-13	-10	–	-1.20	-3.30
5/04	H	Chesapeake, AA County	10-	19	-9	-3	––	-1.20	-5.83
5/10	A	Meade	16-	8	8	9		1.20	-1.36
5/12	A	Severna Park	4-	19	-15	-17		1.20	1.86
									0.00	1.98

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	A	Northeast	16-	6	0.00
3/28	H	North County	21-	7	-4.07
4/12	A	North County	17-	7	0.00
4/17	H	South River	6-	16	0.00
4/24	A	Severna Park	2-	21	2.14
4/27	A	Meade	15-	5	0.00
5/01	H	Broadneck	3-	16	3.00
5/12	A	Severna Park	4-	19	-1.86
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	731
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.95		Natl Power Rank	731
Natl SOS Rating	74.81		Natl SOS Rank	204
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.30		Natl Quality Win Rank	573
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	921
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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