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Osbourn HS Eagles (9-6)

Region: VA NW AAA

State: VA

Coach: Mike Riley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	at Gar-Field (0-8)	VA NW AAA	57.3		W	16-	0		0.000
3/13	at Highland School (5-8)	VA Indep	70.0		W	8-	3		0.400
3/21	GAR-FIELD (0-8)	VA NW AAA	57.3		W	17-	2		0.000
3/22	WAKEFIELD SCHOOL, VA (6-4)	VA Indep	70.1		L	4-	13		-0.175
3/26	at C.D. Hylton (5-4)	VA NW AAA	67.5		W	13-	3		0.200
4/12	at Woodbridge (2-8)	VA NW AAA	65.6		L	6-	7		-0.300
4/18	POTOMAC HS (2-7)	VA NW AAA	64.3		W	12-	4		0.100
4/20	at Forest Park (10-4)	VA NW AAA	70.1		L	5-	7	ot	-0.150
4/23	FAUQUIER (3-6)	VA NW AAA	68.4		W	6-	3		0.225
4/24	at Notre Dame Academy, VA (0-9)	VA Indep	65.0		W	4-	2		0.200
4/26	at Culpeper County (2-3)	VA NW AAA	66.4		L	6-	11		-0.325
4/30	BATTLEFIELD (9-7)	VA NW AAA	69.3		W	9-	8		0.225
5/02	at Osbourn Park (14-5)	VA NW AAA	75.4		L	3-	19		0.000
5/07	at Stonewall Jackson (0-5)	VA NW AAA	62.2		W	6-	3		0.075
5/14	vs. Battlefield # (9-7)	VA NW AAA	69.3		L	7-	8		-0.250
# Neutral site			66.3						0.23

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	A	Gar-Field	16-	0	16	14		1.07	1.66
3/13	A	Highland School	8-	3	5	-6	+++	1.07	11.12
3/21	H	Gar-Field	17-	2	15	16		-1.07	-1.48
3/22	H	Wakefield School, VA	4-	13	-9	-3	–––	-1.07	-6.18
3/26	A	C.D. Hylton	13-	3	10	2	+++	1.07	8.24
4/12	A	Woodbridge	6-	7	-1	2	–	1.07	-2.95
4/18	H	Potomac HS	12-	4	8	6	+	-1.07	2.06
4/20	A	Forest Park	5-	7	-2	-4	+	1.07	2.25
4/23	H	Fauquier	6-	3	3	1		-1.07	1.82
4/24	A	Notre Dame Academy, VA	4-	2	2	2		1.07	-0.01
4/26	A	Culpeper County	6-	11	-5	3	–––	1.07	-7.64
4/30	H	Battlefield	9-	8	1	1		-1.07	0.33
5/02	A	Osbourn Park	3-	19	-16	-12	––	1.07	-4.36
5/07	A	Stonewall Jackson	6-	3	3	7	––	1.07	-4.26
5/14	N	Battlefield	7-	8	-1	0		0.00	-0.61
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	A	Gar-Field	16-	0	-1.66
3/21	H	Gar-Field	17-	2	1.48
3/26	A	C.D. Hylton	13-	3	0.00
5/02	A	Osbourn Park	3-	19	4.36
10-goal correction: 0.28

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1261
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.37		Natl Power Rank	1261
Natl SOS Rating	50.50		Natl SOS Rank	1828
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.23		Natl Quality Win Rank	696
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	697
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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