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Owego Free Academy Indians (4-11)

Region: NY C Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Jason Westerveldt

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	VESTAL (8-10)	NY A Sec 4	80.5	7	L	3-	11		-0.100
4/03	CORNING WEST (12-6)	NY A Sec 4	84.1	4	L	5-	16		-0.050
4/10	at Cortland (12-4)	NY C Sec 3	81.6		L	1-	19		-0.025
4/11	at Corning East (18-2)	NY C Sec 4	92.4	1	L	0-	18		0.000
4/13	SETON CATHOLIC CENTRAL (5-9)	NY C Sec 4	72.5	10	W	10-	4		0.125
4/17	at Ithaca (9-11)	NY A Sec 4	82.6	6	L	5-	14		0.000
4/20	MAINE-ENDWELL (12-5)	NY B Sec 4	86.6	2	L	2-	14		0.000
4/24	at Binghamton (12-5)	NY A Sec 4	86.0	3	L	4-	15		0.000
4/30	JOHNSON CITY (2-14)	NY C Sec 4	71.2		W	14-	3		0.100
5/04	at Maine-Endwell (12-5)	NY B Sec 4	86.6	2	L	3-	17		0.000
5/07	CHENANGO FORKS (0-12)	NY C Sec 4	68.8		W	12-	1		0.000
5/08	HORSEHEADS (7-8)	NY A Sec 4	82.7	5	L	3-	12		-0.050
5/10	at Vestal (8-10)	NY A Sec 4	80.5	7		-
5/16	at Horseheads (7-8)	NY A Sec 4	82.7	5		-
5/18	at Union-Endicott (4-8)	NY A Sec 4	76.4	8	L	6-	15		-0.100
5/22	vs. Seton Catholic Central # (5-9)	NY C Sec 4	72.5	10	W	8-	7		0.175
5/24	at Corning East (18-2)	NY C Sec 4	92.4	1	L	2-	18		0.000
# Neutral site			82.8						0.07

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Vestal	3-	11	-8	-6	–	-1.71	-2.23
4/03	H	Corning West	5-	16	-11	-8	–	-1.71	-2.77
4/10	A	Cortland	1-	19	-18	-9	–––	1.71		-8.60
4/11	A	Corning East	0-	18	-18	-18		1.71	0.13
4/13	H	Seton Catholic Central	10-	4	6	5		-1.71	0.80
4/17	A	Ithaca	5-	14	-9	-11	+	1.71	2.28
4/20	H	Maine-Endwell	2-	14	-12	-11		-1.71	-1.35
4/24	A	Binghamton	4-	15	-11	-13		1.71	1.69
4/30	H	Johnson City	14-	3	11	6	++	-1.71	5.02
5/04	A	Maine-Endwell	3-	17	-14	-14		1.71	0.06
5/07	H	Chenango Forks	12-	1	11	10		-1.71	1.28
5/08	H	Horseheads	3-	12	-9	-8		-1.71	-1.10
5/18	A	Union-Endicott	6-	15	-9	-6	–	1.71	-3.47
5/22	N	Seton Catholic Central	8-	7	1	3	–	0.00	-2.49
5/24	A	Corning East	2-	18	-16	-18	+	1.71	2.13
									0.00	-8.60

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	H	Corning West	5-	16	1.00
4/10	A	Cortland	1-	19	8.00
4/11	A	Corning East	0-	18	-0.13
4/20	H	Maine-Endwell	2-	14	1.35
4/24	A	Binghamton	4-	15	-1.69
4/30	H	Johnson City	14-	3	-1.00
5/04	A	Maine-Endwell	3-	17	-0.06
5/07	H	Chenango Forks	12-	1	-1.28
5/24	A	Corning East	2-	18	-2.13
10-goal correction: 0.27

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	902
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.95		Natl Power Rank	902
Natl SOS Rating	77.25		Natl SOS Rank	142
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.07		Natl Quality Win Rank	883
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	1486
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.0


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