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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Patrick Henry, VA Patriots (7-14)

Region: VA NW AAAState: VACoach: Mike Norton

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/19DOUGLAS FREEMAN REBELS (10-3)VA Indep76.8L3-13 -0.050  
3/21at Rockbridge County (9-5)VA NW AA73.7L1- 8 -0.100  
3/23VIRGINIA EPISCOPAL (3-5)VA LIS69.3-    
3/24at Monticello, VA (1-10)VA NW AA68.1W9- 4 0.225  
3/25at Swift Creek (8-3)VA Indep74.4L3-15 -0.050  
3/28ST. GERTRUDE'S (0-14)VA LIS68.8-    
3/29E.C. GLASS (5-4)VA NW AAA66.5W13- 3 0.075  
3/29JAMES RIVER HS (5-3)VA Indep71.7L2- 7 -0.175  
4/02SWIFT CREEK (8-3)VA Indep74.4L5-14 -0.125  
4/03at Cave Spring (2-4)VA NW AA62.3W10- 1 0.000  
4/04at Deep Run (5-5)VA Indep69.7L4- 8 -0.225  
4/05EAST ROCKINGHAM CLUB (0-8)VA Indep58.5-    
4/18at Salem, VA (7-2)VA NW AA75.5L2-13 -0.025  
4/20TRINITY EPISCOPAL (13-4)VA LIS75.8L4-16 -0.075  
4/25ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (9-5)VA NW AA73.7L2-11 -0.150  
4/26DEEP RUN (5-5)VA Indep69.7L6- 7 -0.275  
4/28at Western Albemarle (13-3)VA NW AA77.8L6-16 0.000  
4/30at James River HS (5-3)VA Indep71.7-    
5/01SALEM, VA (7-2)VA NW AA75.5L9-14 -0.075  
5/01at Steward School (2-8)VA LIS68.7-    
5/04at Trinity Episcopal (13-4)VA LIS75.8W5- 0 0.475  
5/10at East Rockingham Club (0-8)VA Indep58.5W16- 1 0.000  
5/16at E.C. Glass (5-4)VA NW AAA66.5W18- 4 0.125  
5/21BATTLEFIELD (9-7)VA NW AAA69.3W8- 6 0.175  
5/23at Forest Park (10-4)VA NW AAA70.1L5- 6 -0.200  
5/25at Osbourn Park (14-5)VA NW AAA75.4L0- 1 -0.025  
 72.0     -0.48  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/19HDouglas Freeman Rebels3-13-10   -8       -1.07       -2.13
3/21ARockbridge County1-8-7   -6       1.07       -0.82
3/24AMonticello, VA9-45   1       ++1.07       4.08
3/25ASwift Creek3-15-12   -8       ––1.07       -4.40
3/29HE.C. Glass13-310   7       +-1.07       2.58
3/29HJames River HS2-7-5   -3       -1.07       -2.46
4/02HSwift Creek5-14-9   -5       -1.07       -3.53
4/03ACave Spring10-19   10       1.07       -1.27
4/04ADeep Run4-8-4   -1       1.07       -3.05
4/18ASalem, VA2-13-11   -9       1.07       -2.31
4/20HTrinity Episcopal4-16-12   -7       ––-1.07       -4.66
4/25HRockbridge County2-11-9   -4       ––-1.07       -4.95
4/26HDeep Run6-7-1   1       -1.07       -2.18
4/28AWestern Albemarle6-16-10   -10       1.07       0.42
5/01HSalem, VA9-14-5   -7       -1.07       1.56
5/04ATrinity Episcopal5-05   -9       +++1.07       14.47
5/10AEast Rockingham Club16-115   15       1.07       0.35
5/16AE.C. Glass18-414   5       +++1.07       8.71
5/21HBattlefield8-62   3       -1.07       -1.17
5/23AForest Park5-6-1   -2       1.07       0.76
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/19HDouglas Freeman Rebels3-130.00
3/25ASwift Creek3-152.00
3/29HE.C. Glass13-30.00
4/18ASalem, VA2-131.00
4/20HTrinity Episcopal4-162.00
4/28AWestern Albemarle6-160.00
5/10AEast Rockingham Club16-1-0.35
5/16AE.C. Glass18-4-4.00
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 70.   Natl CCR Rank 1242
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 69.56   Natl Power Rank 1242
Natl SOS Rating 58.92   Natl SOS Rank 1163
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.48   Natl Quality Win Rank 1722
W-L Pct Rating 0.33   W-L Pct Rank 1357
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-14   Ave Goal diff (all ) -1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 5.0



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