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Penn Manor Comets (12-2)

Region: PA LLL

State: PA

Coach: James Miller

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	CEDAR CREST (0-13)	PA LLL	65.7		W	15-	0		0.000
3/29	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (13-2)	PA LLL	79.5		W	8-	3		0.150
3/31	at Hempfield, Landisville (7-6)	PA LLL	78.3		W	11-	10	ot	0.150
4/02	at Hershey (16-1)	PA Indep	81.0		L	6-	9		-0.225
4/03	LANCASTER CDS, PA (3-2)	PA LLL	78.1		W	10-	2		0.075
4/09	COCALICO (2-7)	PA LLL	77.1		W	12-	3		0.050
4/11	at Warwick, PA (8-4)	PA LLL	78.4		W	13-	4		0.150
4/19	at Lampeter-Strasburg (3-6)	PA LLL	76.4		W	19-	9		0.025
4/24	EPHRATA (2-12)	PA LLL	72.2		W	16-	3		0.000
4/26	CONESTOGA VALLEY (11-6)	PA LLL	78.2		W	19-	12		0.100
4/30	at Cedar Crest (0-13)	PA LLL	65.7		W	15-	3		0.000
5/02	at Manheim Township (13-2)	PA LLL	79.5		L	6-	11		-0.275
5/07	HEMPFIELD, LANDISVILLE (7-6)	PA LLL	78.3		W	10-	8		0.100
5/09	at McCaskey (2-3)	PA Indep	77.6		W	12-	1		0.125
			73.0						0.43

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Cedar Crest	15-	0	15	15		-1.07	-0.35
3/29	H	Manheim Township	8-	3	5	4		-1.07	1.50
3/31	A	Hempfield, Landisville	11-	10	1	4	–	1.07	-2.67
4/02	A	Hershey	6-	9	-3	-1		1.07	-1.81
4/03	H	Lancaster CDS, PA	10-	2	8	7		-1.07	1.15
4/09	H	Cocalico	12-	3	9	8		-1.07	0.74
4/11	A	Warwick, PA	13-	4	9	4	++	1.07	5.26
4/19	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	19-	9	10	9		1.07	1.10
4/24	H	Ephrata	16-	3	13	13		-1.07	0.38
4/26	H	Conestoga Valley	19-	12	7	6		-1.07	0.51
4/30	A	Cedar Crest	15-	3	12	13		1.07	-1.21
5/02	A	Manheim Township	6-	11	-5	1	–––	1.07	-6.36
5/07	H	Hempfield, Landisville	10-	8	2	6	–	-1.07	-3.82
5/09	A	McCaskey	12-	1	11	5	++	1.07	5.57
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Cedar Crest	15-	0	0.35
4/19	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	19-	9	0.00
4/24	H	Ephrata	16-	3	-0.38
4/30	A	Cedar Crest	15-	3	1.21
5/09	A	McCaskey	12-	1	-1.00
10-goal correction: 0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	312
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.29		Natl Power Rank	312
Natl SOS Rating	59.88		Natl SOS Rank	1066
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.43		Natl Quality Win Rank	497
W-L Pct Rating	0.86		W-L Pct Rank	143
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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