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Penfield Patriots (19-2)

Conference: MCRegion: NY A Sec 5State: NYCoach: Wayne Smith

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/29vs. Brighton, NY # (18-2)NY B Sec 592.91L8-12 -0.175  
3/31vs. Webster Thomas # (13-5)NY B Sec 587.37W7- 5 0.150  
4/04at Irondequoit (7-8)NY B Sec 578.1W14- 5 0.025  
4/13at Holy Child, DC (8-8)DC ISL AA78.7W12- 3 0.000  
4/19vs. Honeoye Falls-Lima # (14-4)NY C Sec 587.38W15- 8 0.150  
4/21SPENCERPORT (4-13)NY A Sec 571.6W15- 5 0.000  
4/23at East Rochester (16-5)NY C Sec 589.35W16- 9 0.225  
4/25at Cicero-North Syracuse (11-7)NY A Sec 384.9W11-10 0.125  
4/27at Fairport (10-8)NY A Sec 581.3W16- 6 0.075  
5/02CHURCHVILLE-CHILI (1-15)NY A Sec 565.2W19- 2 0.000  
5/04ARCADIA-OLYMPIA (0-17)NY A Sec 564.3W14- 1 0.000  
5/08at Webster Schroeder (6-12)NY A Sec 572.4W16- 4 0.000  
5/11RUSH-HENRIETTA (12-7)NY A Sec 589.64W8- 4 0.200  
5/12IRONDEQUOIT (7-8)NY B Sec 578.1W16- 4 0.000  
5/15GATES-CHILI (12-6)NY A Sec 582.4W16- 2 0.025  
5/17at Pittsford-Mendon (8-9)NY A Sec 578.6W16- 5 0.025  
5/23SPENCERPORT (4-13)NY A Sec 571.6W19- 2 0.000  
5/29vs. Fairport # (10-8)NY A Sec 581.3W11- 3 0.050  
5/31vs. Rush-Henrietta # (12-7)NY A Sec 589.64W9- 7 0.225  
6/02vs. Lancaster, NY # (16-4)NY A Sec 678.6W15- 1 0.000  
6/08vs. Farmingdale # (16-4)NY A Sec 894.2L5- 8 -0.175  
# Neutral site 82.4     0.92  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/29NBrighton, NY8-12-4   -3       0.00       -1.22
3/31NWebster Thomas7-52   4       –0.00       -2.30
4/04AIrondequoit14-59   9       1.02       -0.23
4/13AHoly Child, DC12-39   12       –1.24       -2.51
4/19NHoneoye Falls-Lima15-87   4       +0.00       2.58
4/21HSpencerport15-510   16       ––-1.02       -5.92
4/23AEast Rochester16-97   1       ++1.02       5.88
4/25ACicero-North Syracuse11-101   5       ––1.37       -4.13
4/27AFairport16-610   7       +1.02       2.72
5/02HChurchville-Chili19-217   20       –-1.02       -3.30
5/04HArcadia-Olympia14-113   21       –––-1.02       -8.23
5/08AWebster Schroeder16-412   14       1.02       -1.60
5/11HRush-Henrietta8-44   2       -1.02       1.82
5/12HIrondequoit16-412   11       -1.02       0.73
5/15HGates-Chili16-214   9       ++-1.02       5.23
5/17APittsford-Mendon16-511   9       +1.02       2.22
5/23HSpencerport19-217   16       -1.02       1.08
5/29NFairport11-38   8       0.00       -0.30
5/31NRush-Henrietta9-72   1       0.00       0.84
6/02NLancaster, NY15-114   13       0.00       1.16
6/08NFarmingdale5-8-3   -3       0.00       -0.23
         0.00-5.71

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/21HSpencerport15-55.92
4/27AFairport16-60.00
5/02HChurchville-Chili19-23.30
5/04HArcadia-Olympia14-18.23
5/08AWebster Schroeder16-41.60
5/12HIrondequoit16-4-0.73
5/15HGates-Chili16-2-4.00
5/17APittsford-Mendon16-5-1.00
5/23HSpencerport19-2-1.08
6/02NLancaster, NY15-1-1.16
10-goal correction: 0.53

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 187.   Natl CCR Rank 35
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 40
Natl Power Rating 91.41   Natl Power Rank 36
Natl SOS Rating 76.52   Natl SOS Rank 157
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.92   Natl Quality Win Rank 179
W-L Pct Rating 0.90   W-L Pct Rank 74
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 11-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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