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Perry Hall Gators (4-9)

Region: MD 4A

State: MD

Coach: Jennifer Ice

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Bel Air (8-5)	MD 3A	82.0		L	7-	13		-0.025
3/26	SPARROWS POINT (6-3)	MD 1A	67.5		W	16-	4		0.000
3/28	FRANKLIN REGIONAL, MD (6-6)	MD 3A	77.4		L	10-	14		-0.200
3/31	vs. Harrison, NY # (11-4)	NY B Sec 1	75.3		W	16-	4		0.275
4/04	at Pikesville (10-7)	MD 2A	78.5		L	11-	17		-0.100
4/18	HEREFORD (9-7)	MD 2A	83.6		L	10-	21		-0.050
4/20	at Parkville (3-7)	MD 4A	67.4		W	16-	7		0.100
4/23	LOCH RAVEN (7-4)	MD 1A	78.4		L	7-	8		-0.175
4/25	TOWSON HS (13-5)	MD 3A	87.5	8	L	7-	20		0.000
4/27	KENWOOD (5-6)	MD 4A	67.4		W	14-	7		0.025
5/02	at Dulaney (13-3)	MD 4A	90.5	4	L	4-	17		0.000
5/04	at Eastern Technical (3-7)	MD 2A	73.0		L	8-	10		-0.225
5/11	at C. Milton Wright (8-9)	MD 3A	81.0		L	9-	17		-0.025
# Neutral site			80.2						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Bel Air	7-	13	-6	-9	+	1.20	2.56
3/26	H	Sparrows Point	16-	4	12	11		-1.20	0.74
3/28	H	Franklin Regional, MD	10-	14	-4	-2	–	-1.20	-2.22
3/31	N	Harrison, NY	16-	4	12	-1	+++	0.00		13.28
4/04	A	Pikesville	11-	17	-6	-6		1.20	0.10
4/18	H	Hereford	10-	21	-11	-8	–	-1.20	-3.40
4/20	A	Parkville	16-	7	9	6	+	1.20	2.89
4/23	H	Loch Raven	7-	8	-1	-3	+	-1.20	2.36
4/25	H	Towson HS	7-	20	-13	-11	–	-1.20	-2.38
4/27	H	Kenwood	14-	7	7	9	–	-1.20	-2.27
5/02	A	Dulaney	4-	17	-13	-15		1.20	1.77
5/04	A	Eastern Technical	8-	10	-2	-1		1.20	-0.80
5/11	A	C. Milton Wright	9-	17	-8	-9		1.20	0.66
									0.00	13.28

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/26	H	Sparrows Point	16-	4	-0.74
3/31	N	Harrison, NY	16-	4	0.00
4/18	H	Hereford	10-	21	1.00
4/25	H	Towson HS	7-	20	2.38
5/02	A	Dulaney	4-	17	-1.77
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	898
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.02		Natl Power Rank	898
Natl SOS Rating	72.97		Natl SOS Rank	286
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	1631
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1390
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7


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